Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Prop Pick: Will Josh Allen Struggle on Monday Night Football?
Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills will head south to take on their AFC East rival in the New York Jets. Can Allen overcome his recent struggles against the Jets, or will he have trouble again on Monday Night Football? MJC Locks is back with his top prop pick for Bills vs. Jets on MNF.
MJC Locks - October 14, 2024, 4:06 PM EDT
5 minBuffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Prop Pick: Will Josh Allen Struggle on Monday Night Football?
We have an interesting divisional matchup tonight for Monday Night Football, consisting of the Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets. Both teams have great defenses so we could be in for a defensive battle in this one which is reflected by the low total. Despite this, I have found one player prop for this game that I am really liking. I am going to be targeting Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen, and I like him to throw an interception tonight, his first of the NFL season at -120 odd on FanDuel.
Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Date, Time and Where to Watch
- Date: October 14, 2024
- Time: 8:15 pm ET
- Where to Watch: ESPN
Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Prediction
Josh Allen has historically struggled against this New York Jets defense, who ranks 2nd in overall coverage grade on PFF with an 86.5 coverage grade. He has thrown an interception in four of his last six matchups against them. Allen also may be without one of his best weapons this season in Khalil Shakir, who is questionable with a nagging injury. This Jets defense has forced opposing quarterbacks to throw seven interceptions over their last eight games. I think he could struggle tonight in this matchup once again and expect a lot of these trends to continue tonight.
Another reason I like this play is because of Allen's road struggles. On the road, he has thrown an interception in four of his last five matchups against the Jets, with eight total interceptions. Over Allen's last 27 road games with at least 20 passing attempts, he has thrown an interception in 19 of his last 27 games (70%). Although he has not thrown an interception so far this season, he has still has had some close calls. According to PFF, Josh Allen has nine turnover-worthy plays this season. I'd say he has been fairly lucky to have not thrown a pick given that stat. I think this luck turns the other way here tonight and we see Josh throw his first pick of the season!
Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Prop Pick
Pick: Josh Allen to Throw an Interception (-125) Click here to see which sportsbook has the best odds
NFL Odds
