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The top five EV picks for tonight's Thursday Night Football game between the Houston Texans and the New York Jets. Are you looking to take advantage of expected value in this game? You've come to the right place. Get a taste of what OC+ has to offer
ANALYSIS

Thursday Night Football EV Betting Picks: Top 5 EV Picks from our oddschecker+ Positive Value Bets Tool

It's Thursday, and that means I woke up and immediately checked the oddschecker+ Positive Value Bets Tool to see what the top EV picks for tonight's Jets vs. Texans game are.

We have been on fire using our Positive Value Bets Tool lately, including a 5-0 sweep on Sunday. That's right, if you weren't following my Top 5 EV picks this past week you missed a 130.40% ROI NFL Sunday. The good news is, that I've found five more plays I love for tonight.

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Jets vs. Texans Top 5 EV Picks

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Thursday Night Football EV Betting Picks

1. CJ Stroud Over 249.5 Passing Yards (+195)

We are getting incredible value on Stroud to exceed this total tonight. I don't care that he's missing some of the weapons around him, and neither does the OC+ Positive Value Bets Tool.

Stroud has exceeded this number four times this season and will be in a negative game script tonight, which bodes well for this prop.

The expected value of this wager is 37.56%.

2. CJ Stroud Over 20.5 Completions (+115)

Once again, this prop is all about the game script, not to mention the fact that we're getting a juicy +115 price for something like this.

Houston will be playing from behind tonight, leading to more passing opportunities for Stroud.

Our AI probability of this prop cashing is 57.25%.

3. Breece Hall Longest Rec Over 14.5 (-109)

Hall has seen more volume in the last two weeks in both the passing game and the run game.

The former Iowa State standout is one of the best pass-catching backs in football and has a great chance to rip off a big play in the pass game against this Texans defense.

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4. Aaron Rodgers Over 219.5 Passing Yards (-177)

I don't love juice when it comes to betting, but we will sip on juice with this prop.

Rodgers has exceeded this number in six consecutive games and this should be a layup tonight.

New York will struggle running the football and will have to lean on the passing game. With guys like Garrett Wilson and Davante Adams around him, 220 yards passing is nothing.

5. Mike Williams Longest Rec Under 14.5 (+105)

This prop is one of our Positive Value Bets Tool's favorite plays for Thursday night football. Getting it at +105 makes me love it too.

Williams is the fourth or fifth option in the passing game and will get limited targets tonight. Rodgers knows they need a win desperately, and he won't be focused on making sure he gets all his receivers involved.

The expected value of this wager is 79.29%.

Article Author

NFLNCAABNBANHLNCAAFMLBNASCARBoxing/MMA

Matt McCuen is a native of Delco, PA. He has been working in the sports gambling industry and creating content for the last few years. He is an expert in numerous different sports, including the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and collegiate sports. You can follow Matt on Twitter at @DeadPresPicks.

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