Commanders vs. Giants Same Game Parlay: Will Malik Nabers, Isaiah Likely Carry Giants on TNF?
The Washington Commanders visit the New York Giants on Thursday Night Football for a quick NFC East rematch after the teams played to a rain-soaked tie last month. Can Jayden Daniels, Malik Nabers and Isaiah Likely recreate their Week 5 production in another potentially wet divisional matchup? Check out this Commanders vs. Giants same game parlay and best bet for Thursday, November 12.
Peter Alexis - November 12, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
5 Minute ReadCommanders vs. Giants Same Game Parlay Picks for Thursday, November 12
Washington and New York meet again just over a month after producing one of the season's most revealing divisional games. The Giants now sit atop the NFC East at 5-2-1, while the Commanders have slipped to 2-5-1, but the first matchup provided unusually strong data for how these personnel groups attack one another.
There is one major change for New York, with J.J. McCarthy starting instead of Jameis Winston. The broader matchup remains familiar, however, and another rainy forecast could again emphasize Daniels' legs while funneling Giants targets toward Nabers and Likely against a struggling Washington pass defense.
Commanders vs. Giants Preview
New York enters off an impressive 19-11 road win over Philadelphia, while Washington fell 20-13 to the Rams and has now lost consecutive games. The Giants have developed a clear identity around defense, ball control and their featured playmakers, while the Commanders remain dangerous when Daniels creates outside the structure of the passing game.
The first meeting ended in a 27-27 tie after New York erased a late deficit. Daniels threw for only 199 yards but destroyed the Giants on the ground with 103 yards and two touchdowns on nine carries. On the other side, Nabers caught 11 passes for 121 yards and a touchdown, while Likely matched him with 11 receptions for 94 yards and two scores.
Those numbers create the foundation of the +1100 parlay. None of the three player thresholds asks for a full repeat of the first meeting, while the Giants moneyline backs the team that has established the stronger identity since that tie.
Commanders vs. Giants Date, Time, Where to Watch
- Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
- How to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Commanders vs. Giants Odds
- Spread: Commanders +2 (-110), Giants -2 (-110)
- Total Points: Over 41 (-105), Under 41 (-107)
- Moneyline: Commanders +120, Giants -130
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Commanders vs. Giants Same Game Parlay Breakdown
Leg 1: Jayden Daniels 40+ Rushing Yards
Daniels is being asked for less than 40% of what he produced against this defense in Week 5. He carried nine times for 103 yards and two touchdowns in that matchup, repeatedly punishing New York when pressure opened running lanes or coverage pulled defenders away from the line of scrimmage.
The Giants know exactly what burned them and should make containing Daniels a priority, but their recent results show the issue has not disappeared. Mobile quarterbacks have continued finding space against this defense, and another wet-weather game could make Daniels' rushing ability even more important when passing conditions deteriorate.
Washington does not need to design 10 quarterback runs for this leg. A few scrambles plus several read-option or red-zone concepts can get Daniels beyond 40 yards, particularly if the Giants continue creating enough pressure to force him out of the pocket.
Leg 2: Giants Moneyline
New York has separated itself from Washington since the first meeting. The Giants are 5-2-1, lead the NFC East and just went into Philadelphia and won 19-11, while Washington has dropped to 2-5-1 after another low-scoring loss against the Rams.
McCarthy replacing Winston changes the offensive equation, especially after Winston threw 54 times in the first meeting. The Giants do not need another 300-yard passing performance to win, however. Their defense has become the more reliable unit, and McCarthy practiced fully entering Thursday after briefly aggravating his hip against Philadelphia.
The first game required a late Giants comeback just to reach overtime. This time New York gets the rematch at MetLife Stadium with the stronger recent form and a defense capable of forcing Washington into long stretches of inefficient offense.
Leg 3: Isaiah Likely 5+ Receptions
Likely's first performance against Washington was enormous, with 11 catches for 94 yards and two touchdowns on 13 targets. Most importantly for this leg, five receptions asks him to reproduce less than half of that volume.
His role has remained significant since then. Likely enters Thursday with 46 receptions for 448 yards and six touchdowns through eight games with New York, and he caught five passes for 53 yards and the Giants' only touchdown against Philadelphia last week.
Washington ranks near the bottom of the league against the pass, and Likely's slot-heavy usage creates a difficult matchup for linebackers and safeties. Even with McCarthy replacing Winston, five receptions is attainable if the Giants again use Likely as a high-percentage option in the middle of the field.
Leg 4: Malik Nabers 70+ Receiving Yards
Nabers was the dominant volume receiver in the first meeting, drawing 20 targets and turning them into 11 catches for 121 yards and a touchdown. Washington knew the football was going his direction and still could not consistently take him away.
The Commanders enter the rematch ranked near the bottom of the NFL in passing yards allowed, while Nabers remains New York's leading receiver with 648 yards. He also practiced fully this week and carries no injury designation into Thursday night.
The quarterback change adds some uncertainty because Winston's aggressiveness helped create the enormous Week 5 target count, but Nabers does not need another 20-target game. Seven or eight productive looks can be enough to clear 70 yards against a secondary he already exposed for 121.
Commanders vs. Giants Best Same Game Parlay (+1100) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Leg 1: Jayden Daniels 40+ Rushing Yards
- Leg 2: Giants Moneyline
- Leg 3: Isaiah Likely 5+ Receptions
- Leg 4: Malik Nabers 70+ Receiving Yards
The +1100 construction is built around the strongest information available in a divisional rematch. Daniels does not need anything close to another 103 rushing yards, while Likely and Nabers are being asked to reach substantially lower thresholds than the 11-catch performances they produced against Washington last month.
The Giants moneyline completes a script where those individual matchup advantages repeat without the final result doing the same. New York can again funnel offense through Nabers and Likely, Daniels can remain Washington's biggest rushing threat, and the Giants can use their stronger defense and home field to turn the previous tie into a victory.
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