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Sony Open longshot picks from our stable of golf experts. Last week's Sentry TOC was a great way to kick off 2022. Now, we stay in Hawaii for the Sony Open. Ahead of Thursday's opening round, we had our golf experts break down their favorite longshot pick for this weekend.

Sony Open Expert Picks: Our Staff's Top Longshot Picks

The second PGA Tour event of the season is finally here after last week's Sentry TOC. This week, we stay in Hawaii and get ready for the Sony Open. Unlike last week, this is a full-field event. So, we have the opportunity to hit some actual longshots.

Geoff Fienberg, Rick Gehman, Joe Idone, Tom Jacobs and our very own Sam Eaton combed through the Sony Open odds board to give us their favorite Sony Open longshot pick.

The shortest odds one of our experts came up with start at +9000, while Rick Gehman's pick stretches all the way out to +16000. If you're looking for your best chance to hit a big number this week in the Sony Open, look no further than our Sony Open longshot picks below.

Click here for the latest Sony Open odds

Sony Open Expert Longshot Picks

Tom Jacobs: Keith Mitchell (+9000)

Keith Mitchell has finished inside the top-8 three times in his last ten starts, including at the CJ Cup where he was 3rd and probably should have won. 

His last finish was a T12 at the RSM to put a bow on 2021, and he can carry that form into the Sony this week. 

Mitchell has posted three top-25's here at Waialae and last year he shot a 62 on Friday and followed it up with a 63 on Saturday as well. He was 9th after 54-holes last year and 3rd at the same stage in 2019 so I really do think there's huge upside for Mitchell at this golf course.

Geoff Fienberg: Tom Hoge (+10000

I'm jumping on the Tom Hoge wagon this week, it's a combination of factors such as some really quality results to end his past season, especially some eye-popping approach statistics and some quality past results at the Sony. If those approach stats bring some putt luck to the party this week, vs this field, we'll have a Sunday sweat on our hands. I'll also be investing in Hoge prop markets.

-- Geoff Fienberg (@gfienberg17)

Joe Idone: Stuart Cink (+10000)

I'm happy to catch triple-digit odds on Stuart Cink this week who returns to one of his favorite stops on Tour. I like the fact he was able to get his feet wet and some tournament reps under his belt last week at the Tournament of Champions, where I thought he competed admirably. What I found unusual was that he lost almost 4 strokes putting, on Bermuda grass which is typically the preferred greens type for Stuart. I feel good about him bouncing back this week with the putter at the Sony where he has posted back-to-back top 20s and has made the cut every year since 2014.

-- Joe Idone (@TourPicks)

Sam Eaton: Aaron Rai (+10000)

Aaron Rai has caught my eye heading into the Sony Open. History tells us you are much better picking a player who rolled out in the Sentry Tournament of Champions in the Sony Open, however, you’re struggling when looking for a longshot going down that route.

The Sony Open is all about hitting the fairway and approach shots. Rai’s statistics on the PGA Tour are somewhat limited, especially after a fairly slow start on the Tour. However, he finished 2021 well, and the highlight of this success was his approach play.

He gained 5.6 shots on the field in approach in both of his last two events and has impressive driving accuracy stats. His European Tour wins have come on fairly small courses (especially one), so this course could suit. No wind forecasted, but if this was to change it would benefit Rai.

-- Sam Eaton (@SamEaton12)

Rick Gehman: Chad Ramey (+16000)

Ramey flashed his brilliance on the Korn Ferry Tour last season, earning (16) Top 20 finishes in 21 starts. Now with a PGA TOUR card in hand, he's ready to make noise on this circuit. He's earned two more Top 20s this season (Bermuda and Shriners) and Waialae should set-up well for him. The learning curve on the TOUR is steep, but Ramey is getting more comfortable every time he tees it up.

-- Rick Gehman (@RickRunGood)

Article Author


Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for all things sports gambling.


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