Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Pick, Latest Premier League Odds - Monday, May 18th
Arsenal will get one step closer to clinching the Premier League crown on Monday afternoon when they host Burnley. The Gunners will be shooting for a blowout to increase their goal differential over Man City just in case of a final day tie. Let's take a look at this Arsenal vs. Burnley prediction and best betting pick for Monday, May 18th.
OC Staff - May 18, 2026, 9:00 AM EDT
3 Minute ReadArsenal vs Burnley: Lineups, Team News and Prediction
Table-topping Arsenal welcome relegation-threatened Burnley to the Emirates Stadium on Monday, May 18, 2026, for a pivotal Premier League clash kicking off at 20:00 BST. The Gunners are pushing for a historic title, while the Clarets desperately seek points to avoid the drop.
Arsenal vs Burnley Form
The Gunners enter this fixture after a narrow 0-1 defeat away to West Ham in their last Premier League outing. However, their overall form in the league has been impressive, with Arsenal winning three of their last six matches, drawing one, and losing two, placing them 5th in the form table. Notably, Arsenal have won their last three Premier League matches and have been winning at both half-time and full-time in their last three encounters against Burnley in all competitions. They have also kept a clean sheet in five of their last seven Premier League matches, highlighting their defensive solidity.
Burnley, meanwhile, managed to salvage a 2-2 draw away to Aston Villa in their most recent league game. Despite this, their form remains precarious, with the visitors failing to win any of their last ten Premier League matches. Over their last six league outings, Burnley have drawn one and lost five, leaving them 19th in the overall form standings. Their defensive struggles are evident, having conceded at least two goals in five of their last six Premier League matches.
Arsenal vs Burnley Head to Head
The last meeting between these two sides saw Arsenal secure a comfortable 2-0 victory away at Burnley in November 2025.
Looking at their recent history, Arsenal have dominated this fixture. Over the last six encounters, the North London side has emerged victorious four times, with the remaining two matches ending in draws. Burnley are yet to secure a win against Arsenal in their last six meetings. Arsenal have also scored at least two goals in their last three matches against the Clarets in all competitions.
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Arsenal vs. Burnley Odds
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Arsenal vs Burnley Probable Lineups
Arsenal (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: Raya
- Defenders: Hincapié (DL), Magalhães (DC), Saliba (DC), Mosquera (DR)
- Midfielders: Lewis-Skelly (DM), Rice (DM), Eze (AML), Ødegaard (AMC), Saka (AMR)
- Forward: Gyökeres (FC)
Burnley (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: Dúbravka
- Defenders: Hartman (DL), Estève (DC), Ekdal (DC), Walker (DR)
- Midfielders: Ward-Prowse (DM), Florentino (DM), Anthony (AML), Ugochukwu (AMC), Edwards (AMR)
- Forward: Flemming (FC)
Arsenal vs Burnley Team News
Arsenal will be without a trio of players for this crucial fixture. Merino and Timber are both sidelined with injuries. Additionally, White is also injured, which means Mosquera is likely to step in at right-back. Captain Ødegaard could feature from the start after his impactful substitute appearance against West Ham.
Burnley's injury concerns are easing, though they still have three key players unavailable. Beyer, Cullen, and Roberts are all confirmed absentees for the trip to the Emirates.
Arsenal vs Burnley Match Facts
- Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 matches in Premier League.
- Arsenal have been winning at both half time and full time in their last 3 matches against Burnley in all competitions.
- Arsenal have won their last 3 matches in Premier League.
- Arsenal have won their last 3 matches in Premier League.
- Arsenal have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 matches against Burnley in all competitions.
- Burnley have failed to win their last 10 matches in Premier League.
- Burnley have conceded at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches in Premier League.
Prediction: Arsenal 2-0 Burnley
This fixture presents a classic top-versus-bottom scenario, with Arsenal's title aspirations clashing with Burnley's fight for survival. The Gunners, currently sitting at the summit of the Premier League, boast formidable attacking strengths, particularly from set pieces, creating chances through individual skill and through balls, and their clinical finishing. They are expected to dominate possession and control the game in the opposition's half, as indicated by pre-match forecasts.
Burnley, ranked 19th in the league, face a daunting task. Their numerous weaknesses, including vulnerability in aerial duels, a propensity for individual errors, and struggles defending against wing attacks, counter-attacks, set pieces, and skillful players, align perfectly with Arsenal's strengths. The Clarets' difficulty in keeping possession and their tendency to concede at least two goals in recent outings further compound their challenges against a high-flying Arsenal side. While Burnley have shown some resilience in coming back from losing positions, Arsenal's strong defensive record, with five clean sheets in their last seven league games, suggests they will be able to contain any threats. All signs point to a comfortable victory for the home side as they continue their push for the title.
Best Bet: Arsenal to Win to Nil (-170) Click here to get the best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Given Arsenal's strong defensive form, having kept clean sheets in five of their last seven Premier League matches, and Burnley's struggles in front of goal coupled with their poor overall form (failing to win their last 10 league games), backing Arsenal to win without conceding seems a highly plausible outcome. The Gunners' dominance in recent head-to-head encounters, which includes keeping Burnley scoreless, reinforces this betting angle.
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