Thursday Horse Racing Tips from Andy Holding
Newbury 15:30 Betting Odds- Winner
Ardonagh Group Handicap (Str)
- Starters:15
- Distance:7f
- Class: 3
- Age:4YO plus
- Prize:£14174
- Going:Good to Soft (Good in places)
Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 5 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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Best Odds
Odds Shortening
Odds Drifting
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| 5 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 3 1/4 | 5 1/5 | 4 1/5 | 3 1/4 |
Win only |
Win only | |||
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| 5 |  H Crouch31112- | 11/8 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 11/8 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 7/4 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 6/4 | 13/8 | 7/4 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 6/4 | 13/8 | 13/8 | 2 | 2 | |
| 8 |  Oisin Murphy321-60 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 13/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 441/ 50 | 441/ 50 | |
| 3 |  David Probert97-087 | 13/2 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 15/2 | 7 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 441/ 50 | 93/10 | |
| 2 |  Alistair Rawlinson000-02 | 17/2 | 7 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 15/2 | 17/2 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 8 | 17/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 8 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 6 | 13/2 | 15/2 | 137/ 10 | 66/5 | |
| 4 |  K Shoemark1755-1 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17/2 | 9 | 17/2 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 17/2 | 9 | 8 | 17/2 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 17/2 | 49/5 | 49/5 | |
| 10 |  S M Levey826254 | 9 | 17/2 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17/2 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 9 | 17/2 | 9 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 15/2 | 8 | 17/2 | 123/ 10 | 123/ 10 | |
| 1 |  Tom Marquand4637-7 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 137/ 10 | 137/ 10 | |
| 7 |  Lewis Edmunds11-000 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 88/5 | 171/ 10 | |
| 6 |  Billy Loughnane-02300 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 23 | 23 | |
| 11 |  Saffie Osborne7471-1 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 24 | 24 | |
| 13 |  P J Dobbs34-464 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 22 | 28 | 30 | |
| 9 |  R Havlin114412 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 22 | 30 | 28 | 38 | 38 | |
| 15 |  Rose Dawes/56-35 | 80 | 66 | 50 | 66 | 50 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 40 | 66 | 50 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 50 | 40 | 66 | 50 | 66 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 117 | 146 | |
| 16 |  Edward Greatrex1052/9 | 100 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 50 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 66 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 80 | 66 | 66 | 80 | 136 | 156 | |
| 14 |  Charles Bishop516/ | 125 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 66 | 80 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 126 | 136 | |
| 12 |  Joe Leavy933-80 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 28 | SP | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | SP | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 25 | SP | 92 | 107 | |
Newbury 15:30 Racecard & Betting Preview
Horse Number
Notables
Overview
Odds
1 (7) Consecratedf (GB) 19
Form: 4637-7
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 10
Colour: b
Dam: Sacre Caroline
Sire: Frankel
Dam's Sire: Blame
Trainer: W J Haggas
Jockey: Tom Marquand
A winner at 7f on good ground. Well beaten at 17-2 behind Dreamasar when seventh of 8 on her latest outing at Haydock over 1m 2f (good to soft) last month.
11/1
2 (6) Nostrumg (GB) 14
Form: 000-02
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Mirror Lake
Sire: Kingman
Dam's Sire: Dubai Destination
Trainer: M Appleby
Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson
He has won three times from 7f to 1m on good to firm and good ground, but last win was over two years ago. Beaten 1 1/2l by Boyfriend when second of 7 at 13-2 on his latest outing at Sandown over 1m (good) last month.
17/2
3 (11) Briang (IRE) 40
Form: 97-087
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 9
Colour: b
Dam: Alys Love
Sire: Shaman
Dam's Sire: New Approach
Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: David Probert
Successful twice at 6f on good to soft and soft ground. Beaten 7l behind Double Rush at 40-1 when seventh of 9 on his latest outing at Newmarket over 6f (good to firm) last month.
8/1
4 (5) Ata Rangig (IRE) 33
Form: 1755-1
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 8
Colour: ch
Dam: Samite
Sire: Decorated Knight
Dam's Sire: Distorted Humor
Trainer: E Walker
Jockey: K Shoemark
He has won four times from 7f to 1m on good and soft ground and on the all-weather. A winner at 6-1 at Haydock over 7f (good) on his latest outing last month, beating Son by 1 1/4l.
9/1
5 (13) Forty Years Onf (IRE) 263
Form: 31112-
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 7
Colour: b
Dam: Dance East
Sire: Mayson
Dam's Sire: Shamardal
Trainer: George Scott
Jockey: H Crouch
She has won three times from 7f to 1m on good and soft ground. Beaten a head by Maybe Not when second of 9 at 85-40fav on her latest outing at Southwell over 7f in September last year.
7/4
6 (2) Spangled Macg (IRE) 36
Form: -02300
Age: 7
Weight:
9 - 7 p t
Colour: b
Dam: Intermittent
Sire: Starspangledbanner
Dam's Sire: Cacique
Trainer: G Boughey
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
Has won eight races from 5f to 7f on good to firm and good to soft ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 7l behind Dance In The Storm at 22-1 when 12th of 13 on his latest outing at Chester over 7f (good) last month.
18/1
7 (8) Morte Pointg (GB) 20
Form: 11-000
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 7
Colour: b
Dam: Cross My Heart
Sire: Due Diligence
Dam's Sire: Sakhees Secret
Trainer: W Muir & C Grassick
Jockey: Lewis Edmunds
He has won four times from 6f to 7f on good to firm and good ground and on the all-weather. Beaten 13l behind Crimson Spirit at 11-1 when 12th of 14 on his latest outing at Goodwood over 7f (good) last month.
16/1
8 (1) Storm Freeg (GB) 33
Form: 321-60
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 7 p 1
Colour: ch
Dam: La Napoule
Sire: Iffraaj
Dam's Sire: Piccolo
Trainer: J Tate
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Successful at 6f and 7f on good ground. Beaten 10l behind The Wizard Of Eye at 18-1 when 19th of 28 on his latest outing at Ascot over 7f (good) last month. He is wearing cheekpieces for the first time.
8/1
9 (3) Im Workin On Itg (GB) 22
Form: 114412
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 5 p
Colour: b
Dam: Bowstar
Sire: Harry Angel
Dam's Sire: Oasis Dream
Trainer: B R Millman
Jockey: R Havlin
He has won four times at 7f on the all-weather. Beaten a neck by Chalk Mountain when second of 11 at 3-1fav on his latest outing at Kempton over 7f last month.
33/1
10 (14) I Still Have Faithg (GB) 26
Form: 826254
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 4 t
Colour: b
Dam: The Thrill Is Gone
Sire: Expert Eye
Dam's Sire: Bahamian Bounty
Trainer: S C Williams
Jockey: S M Levey
He has won four times from 1m to 1m 2f on good and good to soft ground, but last win was over two years ago; has also won a hurdle. Finished 2l behind Superposition when fourth of 11 at 11-2 on his latest outing at Newmarket over 7f (good) last month.
10/1
11 (16) Chalk Mountaing (GB) 22
Form: 7471-1
Age: 6
Weight:
9 - 2 t
Colour: gr
Dam: Perfect Muse
Sire: Outstrip
Dam's Sire: Oasis Dream
Trainer: Zoe Hawkins
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Winner of seven races at 7f on the all-weather. A winner at 12-1 at Kempton over 7f on his latest outing last month, beating I'm Workin On It by a neck.
20/1
12 (12) Warm Spellg (IRE) 33
Form: 933-80
Age: 5
Weight:
9 - 0
Colour: b
Dam: My Better Half
Sire: Mehmas
Dam's Sire: Rip Van Winkle
Trainer: D M Loughnane
Jockey: Joe Leavy
A winner at 7f on good ground, but that win was over two years ago. Well beaten at 33-1 behind Ata Rangi when last of 10 on his latest outing at Haydock over 7f (good) last month.
13 (15) Best Rateg (GB) 76
Form: 34-464
Age: 4
Weight:
9 - 0
Colour: b
Dam: Nardin
Sire: Camacho
Dam's Sire: Royal Applause
Trainer: R Hannon
Jockey: P J Dobbs
A winner at 7f on the all-weather. Finished 1 1/4l behind Havana Prince when fourth of 11 at 11-1 on his latest outing at Newcastle over 7f in March.
25/1
14 (10) City Of Kingsg (GB) 1150
Form: 516/
Age: 6
Weight:
8 - 13
Colour: b
Dam: Horseplay
Sire: Kingman
Dam's Sire: Cape Cross
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Charles Bishop
A winner at 7f on good ground, but that win was over three years ago. Finished 4 1/2l behind Majestic Pride when sixth of 9 at 11-4 on his latest outing at Newmarket over 7f (soft) in April '23. Having his first run for a new stable today, previously with Charlie Appleby.
125/1
15 (4) Obsidian Dreamg (GB) 16
Form: /56-35
Age: 4
Weight:
8 - 6
Colour: br
Dam: Itiqad
Sire: Mohaather
Dam's Sire: Makfi
Trainer: J S Moore
Jockey: Rose Dawes (5)
A winner at 6f on good ground. Finished 10l behind Early Release when last of 5 at 9-1 on his latest outing at Bath over 6f (firm) last month.
80/1
16 (9) Tanmawwyg (IRE) 19
Form: 1052/9
Age: 8
Weight:
8 - 5 h
Colour: b
Dam: Rufoof
Sire: Invincible Spirit
Dam's Sire: Zamindar
Trainer: H Main
Jockey: Edward Greatrex
Winner of six races from 6f to 7f on ground varying from good to firm to soft. Well beaten at 50-1 behind Dovey Moon when 9th of 11 on his latest outing at Salisbury over 1m (good) last month.
100/1
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KEY
Odds ShorteningOdds Drifting
Forecast Prices: Forty Years On 9/2, Storm Free 16/1, Brian 20/1, Nostrum 11/2, Ata Rangi 4/1, I Still Have Faith 15/2, Consecrated 12/1, Morte Point 33/1, Spangled Mac 25/1, Chalk Mountain 10/1, Best Rate 10/1, Im Workin On It 10/1, Obsidian Dream 25/1, Tanmawwy 33/1, City Of Kings 20/1, Warm Spell 33/1
oddschecker Verdict
Nostrum appreciated a drop in grade when filling the runner-up spot at Sandown a fortnight ago and that confidence-boosting effort entitles him to be on the shortlist. Ata Rangi went up 4lb for winning at Haydock on his return to action and commands plenty of respect, but the unexposed FORTY YEARS ON appeals most. George Scott's filly won three of her five starts last season and the form of her final start was boosted by the winner landing a valuable handicap at the Dante meeting.
Prediction: 1st Forty Years On, 2nd Nostrum, 3rd Ata Rangi
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