Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are neck and neck in some of the key states to determine the winner of the US Election.
Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are considered the seven battleground or swing states in the 2024 Presidential Election.
We have been tracking the likelihood of the Republicans or the Democrats winning each of these seven battlegrounds, as well as other including the state of Iowa - a recent Republican party stronghold which attracted big media attention over the weekend after a poll suggested Kamala Harris led 47% to Donald Trump's 44%.
Let's take a look at the number of electoral votes in the swing states and which party holds a lead in each of them according to the latest betting odds.
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Swing States Electoral Votes
| Swing State | Electoral Votes |
|---|---|
| Arizona | 11 |
| Georgia | 16 |
| Michigan | 15 |
| Nevada | 6 |
| North Carolina | 16 |
| Pennsylvania | 19 |
| Wisconsin | 10 |
The next president will be determined by which of Trump or Harris wins a majority in the Electoral College. Click here for more on the current favourite with the bookmakers.
Each state is allocated a number of electoral college votes (ECV) depending on its population. Across the US there are 538 ECVs in total, meaning Trump or Harris must secure 270 to win the presidency.
The best bet on the US Election for the Political Gambler is Donald Trump to Win 270-299 ECVs, which he says works as a standalone bet on value grounds, a cheap cover against a Kamala Harris victory or a trade to take into the in-play.
His bets are exclusively available on the oddschecker app - click here to download it now and find the selections via the Tips section.
US Election Polls Map
Use the tracker below to find the probability of Trump's Republican party winning in each of the states, including the seven swing states Arizona (AZ), Georgia (GA), Michigan (MI), Nevada (NV), North Carolina (NC), Pennsylvania (PA) and Wisconsin (WI).
At the time of writing, the Republicans hold a lead in five of the seven.
They are 76% likely to win Arizona, 64% likely to win Georgia, 35% likely to win Michigan, 57% likely to win Nevada, 70% likely to win North Carolina, 56% likely to win Pennsylvania and 42% likely to win Wisconsin.
