Form Labs nailed 4/5 selections last Thursday so don't miss this week's Premier League tips.
Robert Thornton v Peter Wright (19:15)
Robert Thornton put in his best performance of the Premier League so far despite his 7-5 defeat to Michael van Gerwen. The Thorn averaged 104.23, hit five 180s with a 71% success rate on his doubles. However, he didn't fair too well over the weekend in the Players Championships suffering two 2nd round and one 1st round exit. Peter Wright missed five match darts against Adrian Lewis in a scrappy contest to only come away with a point, averaging just 93.43. In Barnsley he was more clinical winning 7 of his 10 matches. Their previous meeting ended in a draw with Wright unsuccessfully trialling new darts. Snakebite is 4/6 fave which looks the way to go given the form of the two players this year. However, he's only won four of his ten matches so it's worth chancing a bigger price. We can dutch Wright to win 7-5 or 7-4 at 5/2 and that looks much better. Despite Thornton's poor year, five of his seven defeats have been by this scoreline (the other two were whitewashes) and three out of four of Snakebite's victories have been by this result.
Raymond van Barneveld v Phil Taylor (20:00)
Raymond van Barneveld's playoff hopes look in trouble after his 7-4 defeat to James Wade leaves him six points adrift. Missed darts at doubles at crucial times were again his downfall, including missing three in leg 10 meant as Wade took advantage with the only break of the match. Phil Taylor put in two efficient performances picking up maximum points in his double header. His combined average across the two was only 96.11 however, allowing his opponents 20 attempts at a double. Barney will get chances at a big finish and he has form for taking them. We can back him to take out a 93+ finish, something he's done in 17 of his last 22 TV matches (77%).
James Wade v Adrian Lewis (20:40)
James Wade put in a 'Machine'-esque performance to beat Barney with just the one break checking out 64% of his doubles, before succumbing to a slightly disappointing defeat to Phil Taylor and then 1st and 2nd round exits in Barnsley. Adrian Lewis was fortunate to come away with a point after Wright's missed doubles, he averaged just 88.68, ending his run of wins against players below him. Despite hitting a nine-darter over the weekend he suffered exactly the same fate as Wade with two early exits. Last week we again tipped Wade to cover his checkout line in both of his matches and he duly obliged with two 101 finishes taking him clear at the top of 100+ checkouts in the league with 13. In their previous meeting the match went the distance with Wade taking out 121 and 120 and overall this bet would have won in 17 of his last 21 TV matches (81%).
Michael van Gerwen v Gary Anderson (21:30)
Michael van Gerwen looks to have reverted back to his world class form posting the third highest individual televised average in history in his 7-5 defeat of Thornton - 117.95, which included six 180s. He followed that up by winning the first Players Championship and making the finals of the other two, two of the finals saw the Dutchman clock 110+ averages. Anderson put in a disappointing performance against Taylor averaging just 92.83 last week. In Barnsley it was a 1st round defeat followed by a semi-final loss to, coincidentally, Michael van Gerwen. Anderson's previous run in the league of six straight wins masks his performance statistics compared to the top two of Taylor and MVG. His tournament average is over 10pts lower than MVG's, he's hit 11 fewer 180s and his checkout % is just 38.67% compared to Mighty Mike's 52.46%.
Overall it points to van Gerwen covering the -2.5 handicap. Five of his six wins have been by at least this margin, with all three of Anderson's defeats also being covered including their previous meeting when MVG won 7-3. With the Green Machine throwing first, just one break of throw is required if van Gerwen holds his own throw in the match.
Raymond van Barneveld v Robert Thornton (22:00)
As mentioned last week, with both these players already playing earlier in the evening, it makes this tough to call without knowing what's happened in their other matches. Both players are odds on to lose their first matches and that may well end both their playoff hopes, certainly Thornton’s. Barney won their previous match 7-5 in week three as a 4/6 shot so the odds against on the Dutchman could appeal but it's difficult to know how Thornton is likely to play with only a small spread of data available with his new darts and the inconsistency they appear to bring. Instead, stick with a bet that's won 77% bet of the time over the last six months. The line has once again been set below 100 for Barney's highest match checkout by the sponsors and he took out both 153 and 116 when they last met.