Bournemouth is the venue for night 12 of the Premier League and we've got the best betting advice.
Michael van Gerwen v Peter Wright (19:15)
Michael van Gerwen played out a high-quality draw with Gary Anderson last week, averaging 110.55, hitting six 180s and checking out six of his ten darts at a double (60%). Despite his high quality display it now means he's drawn four of his last five matches making the 4/11 odds on a win here a little prohibitive. Peter Wright switched his darts again last week and was unsuccessful losing 7-2 to Robert Thornton averaging only 92.48 with just a 20% checkout rate. Since winning his first three matches, it's now just one win in eight and that came against relegated Dave Chisnall.
Although van Gerwen's match odds are short given his 54% win rate, the way to go here is to back him to hit the most 180s at an attractive 5/6. He's hit the most 180s in the tournament - 47 in 118 legs, ten more than anyone else, with Wright's 37 coming in 120 legs. Looking further back by taking into account last season's Premier League, MVG averages a 180 every 0.36 legs in-comparison to Wright's average of every 0.25 legs. He's hit the most 180s in 7 of his 11 matches so far, including beating Wright 4-3 in their previous meeting.
Michael van Gerwen most 180s - 1pt @ 5/6
Raymond van Barneveld v Adrian Lewis (20:00)
Raymond van Barneveld suffered a 7-5 defeat to Phil Taylor before beating Robert Thornton 7-4. Adrian Lewis hit a nine-darter against Wade but missed doubles made it a very tight 7-5 win with Wade missing a dart for a draw. Barney has lost 7 of his 12 matches and Lewis has won 7 of his 11 but their performance statistics are almost identical making the 10/11 on Jackpot look about right with the Dutchman's missed doubles at crucial times encapsulating his Premier League. Indeed, in their previous meeting Barney's failure to hold throw cost him a point. However, his proficient big finishes have continued, taking out 106 v Taylor and narrowly wiring the bull for a 126 finish v Thornton. It's now 100+ checkouts in 18 of his last 24 TV matches (75%) including a 104 when they met in week eight.
Raymond van Barneveld highest match checkout over 98.5 - 1pt @ 5/6
Gary Anderson v James Wade (20:40)
Gary Anderson put in a very good performance last week to pick up a point against van Gerwen. He was clutch on his doubles landing 6 out of 7 (86%), putting in his highest average in the league so far with 108.24. James Wade was once again on the wrong side of a nine-darter in his 7-5 defeat to Lewis, but almost escaped with a point after wiring the bull in the last leg. It was another typical performance from the Machine finishing both 121 and 101 to take his ton+ checkouts to 15 in the league. His checkout line is once again set below 100 and backing him to cover it would have won in 18 of his last 22 TV matches (82%).
James Wade highest match checkout over 94.5 - 1pt @ 17/20
Phil Taylor v Robert Thornton (21:20)
Phil Taylor won his ninth match in 11 with his 7-5 victory over Barney. It was a Taylor-esque performance, however he allowed RVB 15 chances at a double meaning his opponents have had 35 shots at a finishing dart in his last three matches. Robert Thornton's inconsistencies with his new darts continued as he beat Wright 7-5 with a 105.61 average before losing 7-4 to Barney with just 88.16. Taylor is an overwhelming 2/7 favourite and in their last meeting he whitewashed the Thorn 7-0. However, in Thornton's three other matches since his switch, he's drawn 6-6 with MVG and only lost 7-5 to again MVG and 7-4 to Lewis. The handicap is set at 3.5, meaning the Scot needs four legs to cover it but with only a small spread of data, it's worth chancing a bigger price. Dutching Taylor 7-5 and 7-4 pays 5/2 and that looks much better than the odds on Thornton +3.5.
Phil Taylor 7-4 - 1pt @ 9/2
Phil Taylor 7-5 - 1pt @ 9/1
Adrian Lewis v Michael van Gerwen (22:00)
Third plays second as these two play twice in Bournemouth. They're both odds on to win their first two matches so there's a good chance both will have taken maximum points to consolidate their playoff positions. Quite often the last match between players who have already played sees a drop in performance levels as perhaps the ability to maintain the focus and adrenaline from earlier is difficult. In the last two matches of phase two this year the average between the four players is only 91.28 and including last year there's been just three 100+ averages of the 12 players. With that in mind both players could give each other chances to take legs and that points to over 10.5 legs at 5/6 which is as short as 8/15 in places. Their previous meeting was 11 legs and in their 22 matches combined, 15 of them have had 10+ legs (68%).
Over 10.5 legs - 1pt @ 5/6