The Premier League roadshow hits Birmingham this week and Form Labs have got the best bets.
Peter Wright v Phil Taylor (19:15)
Peter Wright inevitably lost to Michael van Gerwen last week, 7-2, holding his throw just once, hitting two 180s, with an average of 98.30, meaning it's now just one win in nine. Phil Taylor averaged just 89.61 but won with ease by the same scoreline against Robert Thornton. Taylor hasn't played that great in the 2nd half of the Premier League but he hasn't needed to, rattling off 10 wins and two draws overall since his switch to his new darts. When these two last met in week 8, the Power had hit 23 180s in 55 legs (0.42pl) but since then it's just 13 180s in 66 legs (0.2pl) as his maximum scoring regresses to the mean. The total 180s line is set at 6.5 and the value looks to be under. It's difficult to know how Wright will play with his constant switching of darts in the search of perfection but Taylor's matches average just 5.3 180s with this bet winning in 12 of 13 including when they last met with Snakebite landing five to Taylor's one.
Under 6.5 180s - 1pt @ 3/4
Raymond van Barneveld v Gary Anderson (20:00)
Raymond van Barneveld wasn't at his best in his 7-4 victory over Adrian Lewis, but he didn't need to be as Jackpot's power scoring letting him down allowing Barney a comfortable night. Gary Anderson missed six match darts to only draw once again with James Wade. The Flying Scotsman will be hugely disappointed having averaged 103.07, hitting 5 180s and a respectable 40% checkout rate despite the misses. Despite Barney's easy win he still took out 141 and 110 taking his ton+ checkouts on TV to 19 in his last 25 matches (76%) and he can add another one here.
Raymond van Barneveld highest match checkout over 98.5 - 1pt @ 5/6
Adrian Lewis v Robert Thornton (20:40)
Adrian Lewis was fairly poor in both of his matches last week, first losing 7-4 to Barney, ending his 100% success v players below him, then 7-5 to Michael van Gerwen. He averaged just 90.42 and 92.98 respectively, hitting just one 180 with a checkout success of only 35%. Robert Thornton was just as poor as Lewis, taking just two legs from Taylor despite the Power averaging less than 90. These two met five weeks ago with Lewis prevailing 7-4. A similar match is envisaged and backing Lewis' average to be under 98.5 looks the way to play it. His tournament average is 96.93 and against the worst player in the league he won't need to go for big checkouts. Indeed he had a 58% checkout rate in the previous meeting and his average was still 96.82.
Adrian Lewis under 98.5 average - 1pt @ 5/6
James Wade v Michael van Gerwen (21:20)
James Wade got out of jail with a point last week after Gary Anderson's missed doubles. It was a typical Wade performance, battling away and then taking advantage of any mistakes from his opponent. Michael van Gerwen picked up two wins out of two as he looks to secure his place in the play-offs. Wade pulled off a shock victory over MVG in week one, coming back from 3-0 down and 6/1 quotes on the Machine look a little dismissive. However, if he is to win, it will be a trademark Wade performance with clinical checkouts. He hasn't got the scoring power to live with MVG so he'll have to take his chances when he gets them and that's exactly what he's been doing. It's now 18 ton+ finishes in his last 23 TV matches (78%), including a 121 and 116 in week one plus we're being given a 17 point buffer with his line set at just 82.5 in places.
James Wade highest match checkout over 82.5 - 1pt @ 10/11
Peter Wright v Gary Anderson (22:00)
The two Scotsman play twice in Birmingham with this match probably defining Wright's playoff chances with Gary Anderson looking to consolidate his position in 3rd. Last week we spoke about how the last match featuring players who will have played twice often sees a drop in performance levels, and the way to make that pay this week is to back the highest checkout to be under 121.5. Of their 24 matches combined, 20 of them have see neither player take out a bigger finish (83%) with their high quality previous meeting seeing 101 from Anderson and 60 from Wright as the most over all 12 legs.
Highest match checkout under 120.5 - 1pt @ 9/10