James Wade v Peter Wright (19:15)

With just two rounds of the group stage left, James Wade and Peter Wright are fighting it out to make the play-offs. Both are on 14 points and even though they are 3 points behind 4th place Adrian Lewis, they'll take confidence in the remaining fixtures with Wade facing Thornton and Wright facing van Barneveld, both eliminated players, with Lewis having to play 2nd place Taylor and 3rd in the table Anderson.

James Wade didn't do a lot wrong in his 7-1 defeat to Michael van Gerwen last week, the Dutchman playing exceptionally, averaging 108.33, hitting 7 of his 9 attempts at double (78%) to limit Wade to just one leg. He suffered no adverse affect with just two days later making the final of a Players Championship, which included a 6-5 victory over Wright. Snakebite picked up only his second win in ten, impressively defeating Phil Taylor 7-4, despite Taylor averaging 106.48. Wright was clinical on his doubles landing 7 out of 8 (88%), before consolidating his win with a high quality point against Gary Anderson.

He also made a final over the weekend so both players come into the match in form. The odds have Wright favourite which is understandable given his higher scoring power but without knowing what darts he's going to use, and the data to accompany them, it's tricky to bet on a market involving him. And while Wade's checkout line continues to be pitched below 100, it is a bet that has to be taken. He narrowly missed the bull for a 135 out last week meaning this selection has won in 18 of his last 24 TV matches (75%).
James Wade highest match checkout over 98.5 - 1pt @ 5/6

Gary Anderson v Robert Thornton (20:00)

Gary Anderson picked up a win and a draw in his double header last week to keep himself in 3rd position. Raymond van Barneveld rather handed Anderson the win in a match that was heading for draw, missing five darts at a double before the Flying Scotsman played out a decent draw against his fellow countryman Wright. Robert Thornton once again under performed averaging less than 95, landing just 20% of his doubles. He wasn't even able to make it past the 4th round in the two players championships over the weekend and with nothing to play for, it makes sense to side with 4/11 Anderson who will be looking to confirm his play-off spot. And we can boost his odds to Evens by taking him to land the most 180s aswell. He's hit 43 in 156 legs (0.28 per-leg) in-comparison to Thornton's 31 in 145 legs (0.21pl). Anderson hit four to Thornton's one in his 7-4 victory back in Exeter in week five.
Anderson to win the match and hit the most 180s - 1pt @ 1/1

Michael van Gerwen v Raymond van Barneveld (20:30)

Michael van Gerwen was sublime in his 7-1 defeat of Wade, barely missing a dart at his target with his finishes alone averaging over 73. It was a case of what might have been for van Barneveld once again missing doubles at a crucial time v Anderson. MVG is back on top of the table and he'll be looking to finish there going into the play-offs. He's chalked up as a 2/7 favourite and the 7/1 on countryman RVB could look a little dismissive given they drew 6-6 on judgement night. However, van Gerwen has won 14 of their last 19 matches. Instead we'll take advantage of MVG's vast supremacy by backing van Barneveld to once again cover a low checkout line, this week at just 90.5. Barney took out a magnificent 132 last week meaning he's now hit a ton+ finish in 20 of his last 26 matches (77%) and with the pressure off given he's already eliminated, he can play with freedom.
Raymond van Barneveld highest match checkout over 90.5 - 1pt @ 10/11

Adrian Lewis v Phil Taylor (21:00)

Adrian Lewis put in a professional performance to comfortably dismiss Thornton 7-2 last week. Phil Taylor suffered his first defeat since week one 7-4 to Wright, despite averaging 106.48. In truth he didn't do a lot wrong, with Snakebite clutch on his finishing. However, it means Taylor has dropped down to 2nd while Lewis is probably just a point from qualifying for the play-offs given the leg differential to Wade and Wright (+15 and +16 respectively). Last week we profited with siding with unders in the total 180s market in The Power's match and that looks the way to go again. There were just four last week, and overall he averages a 180 every 0.27 legs (39 in 144 legs) while Lewis averages one every 0.25 legs (37 in 150 legs). Based on this, even if all 12 legs are played, this would imply 6.2 180s. Taylor's matches are now averaging just 5.2 180s meaning this bet has won in 13 of his 14 matches. When these last met Taylor hit two to Lewis' zero.
Under 6.5 180s - 1pt @ 5/6