This is the fourth year of the only outside tournament on the tour and rather unsurprisingly Michael van Gerwen has won all previous three editions with an overall average of 102.08. Van Gerwen has already won 10 tournaments this year including the Premier League, UK Open and four European Masters events. He was formidable in winning the Premier League last week, beating Lewis 10-4 in the semi and Taylor 11-3 in the final, averaging 103.94, hitting 11 180s with a checkout rate of 42% including three 100+ finishes across the two matches. He is consistently playing the best darts ever seen and there appears to be no one who can stop him at the moment, especially over a longer format. He has won all 12 matches this year in best-of-17-legs or more, by an aggregate score of 122-52, a huge 70 legs more, meaning he's winning these matches on average by nearly six legs.
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The draw has kept him apart from the next two best players in the world in Phil Taylor and Gary Anderson, and he faces Peter Wright before a potential semi with Adrian Lewis or Dave Chisnall. He's 1/7 to beat Wright and will be best price 1/6 to win his semi (he was 1/6 v Lewis last week). The best price he will be in the final is 2/7 (the price he was in the Premier League final v Taylor) and cumulatively these three prices produce odds of just over 4/6. Given the Even money on offer, it makes Mighty Mike the standout bet.
On the other side of the draw it's difficult to suggest a value alternative given Taylor and Anderson are both in there and bookmakers only offering a 1/3 of the odds for each-way bets. Taylor's record here is just one final with two quarter-final exits, with Gary Anderson just an 11-3 semi-final defeat to Taylor here last year. The Power faces Wade who has semi and quarter-final defeats to his name although confidence could be high having won the European Darts Matchplay in Hamburg 10 days ago. Anderson plays Raymond van Barneveld who made the final in 2013 and looks a big price at 33/1 as the biggest outsider in the opposite half to MVG. However, in seven matches v the big three this year, he has won just one, against Taylor in week one of the Premier League when The Power was using his old darts. It's also early exits in his two other appearances here.
Back van Gerwen to win his eighth TV tournament of the last nine.