Remi Garde won’t have seen much to encourage him last weekend as Aston Villa lost 3-1 at Spurs and with one point from their last 10 matches this looks to be the season that Villa finally lose their position in the top flight.
City put in an impressive display on Tuesday as they won handsomely in the south of Spain and they’ve seemingly made light work of the absences of Sergio Aguero and David Silva in recent weeks. The latter is close to a return but with Raheem Sterling and Kevin De Bruyne in excellent form they have plenty of attacking threat regardless. They also have an excellent record against Villa, with seven wins in their last eight meetings.
Villa failed to beat any of the top 10 here last season and they’ve picked up just one point from their opening five home games despite facing just one team that currently sits higher than 12th, so it’s probably asking too much for Garde to turn their form around in his opening match. However, only twice in their 24 home games since the start of last season have they conceded more than two times and nine of their 12 defeats here have been by just one goal.
Under 2.5 Goals can be backed at 5/4 but we’d avoid that here given City’s recent scoring record. However, they’ve kept just one clean sheet in their last six games and Villa may well be able to snatch a goal at some point. Three of their 10 home games against the top half last term finished in 2-1 defeats and Man City are 8/1 to win by that score. Furthermore, their last eight wins in all competitions have come despite conceding so the 9/4 on that happening would at least cover them producing another free-scoring affair.
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