The excitement of Jurgen Klopp’s first Premier League, at hapless Chelsea, was followed by a commanding performance in Europe at Rubin Kazan. However, they signed off for the international break with a very disappointing home defeat to Crystal Palace and question marks remain over whether there is enough quality in this squad to finish in the top six let alone the top four. The same can not be said of City, who may be able to welcome Sergio Aguero and David Silva back after a month on the sidelines.
City have won 12 of their last 13 home games with 10 of those wins by more than one goal. Furthermore, they’ve won all 18 of their home matches against middle-third teams since 2013/14 – 14 of which have been by at least two clear goals. This has certainly been a good fixture for them in recent years as they’ve scored at least twice in each of the last five years while winning four times.
Beating Stoke, Bournemouth, Villa and Chelsea this season doesn’t mark Liverpool as world beaters and they’ve scored more than once in just two of their last 15 games. Given Dejan Lovren is expected to start in the heart of defence scoring once will almost certainly not be enough to take anything from this game; Liverpool have lost half the 14 away matches he’s started since joining the club compared to just two of 11 he’s missed. City can currently be backed at 7/10 to take all three points and that is a price worth taking, while given their propensity for winning by more than one, we wouldn’t dissuade anyone from backing them on a handicap.
However, City have conceded in each of their last four home games and with Christian Benteke returning to fitness Liverpool to have a striker who can cause them problems. Daniel Sturrdge has also returned to training and they have scored in nine of their last 12 away defeats (but never more than once) as the 3-1 score has been the most common result. City to win with both teams to score is certainly a good bet here and that also brings over-goals into the equation.
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