Both teams have scored in five of Spurs’ last six matches and in six of West Ham’s last seven.
Spurs are on the longest unbeaten streak in the league having not lost since the opening day at Old Trafford. They were slightly unfortunate to lose that day and they could easily have taken all three points from their trip to Arsenal directly before the international break, so morale should be high in the camp as they head into another London derby.
West Ham have had a superb start under Slaven Bilic but there is still a suspicion that they will soon start to fall away and slip back to mid-table. With the star of their season, Dimitri Payet, picking up a serious injury in their last game the question is if that will be a turning point and without their playmaker will they be able to replicate the form that has seen wins at Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City and Palace, or will we see more results like the 2-0 loss at Watford in their last away game?
Spurs have lost only twice in their last 19 home games – one of which was against Man City – but in the past two seasons they’ve won only nine of 16 home matches against middle-third finishers, with just three wins by more than one goal, which makes their price look too short. At the same time the Hammers have lost eight of 14 trips to teams that have finished 2nd-8th (W1-D5-L8) and so we’ll avoid the match outcome markets with the price looking too short given the stats but doubts over West Ham’s form without Payet putting us off opposing Spurs. One thing we can expect in this game, however, is goals. Both teams have scored in five of Spurs’ last six matches and in six of West Ham’s last seven.
Eriksen and Kane are both in good form for Spurs and in the 17 home games they’ve both started since the beginning of last season Spurs’ matches have averaged more than three goals per game. 11 of those have had at least three goals, as have four of West Ham’s last five away matches. Furthermore, five of the Hammers’ last six trips to top-six teams have had at least three goals as have four of the last six meetings between these two teams. Over 2.5 Goals is a relatively short price at 7/10 but four of Spurs’ last six games have had at least four and we’re happy to take the bigger price.
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