The hysteria surrounding Jurgen Klopp at Liverpool was tempered somewhat as his side were brought back down to earth by a defeat at Newcastle after beating Manchester City away and thumping Southampton 6-1 in the League Cup. They’ve already qualified for the knockout stages of the Europa League and a draw or better here would secure them top spot. Sion, meanwhile, trail Rubin on head to head and so would need a point to go through if Rubin beat Bordeaux.
Sion are languishing down in 6th in the Swiss Super League, with just one win in their last seven games in all competitions and come into this game having lost their last three, including a Europa League trip to Kazan. That was their first defeat in the competition this season as they drew at Anfield and also managed to win at Bordeaux with their games tending to be tight affairs as four of the five had fewer than three goals.
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Liverpool are unbeaten in the Europa League this season, but three draws, including at home to Sion and Rubin, means that they’re not through as group winners just yet. Liverpool’s European away record since 2010/11 is a disappointing W3-D6-L6, despite the majority of these games being in the Europa League. At least one team failed to score in 11 of these 15 games and 13 had fewer than three goals, with 10 seeing fewer than two strikes. However, we have Sion ranked as the 156th best side in Europe and Liverpool’s away record against sides outside the top-100 since 2009/10 is a far better W4-D2-L0 with two wins by more than one goal, and they kept a clean sheet in half of these games.
Furthermore, sides ranked between 25th and 50th (we have Liverpool 37th currently) have a W55-D28-L25 record when travelling to sides ranked between 100th and 200th in the Europa League group stages since 2006/07 which would suggest a fair price of slightly odds-on. With the draw a favourable result for both teams here we expect this to be a cagey affair but since Sion are in poor form and missing several players including their top scorer in the league Konate and with defensive midfielder Salatic also a doubt, we’re backing Liverpool to bounce back from that defeat against Newcastle and continue their renaissance under Klopp.
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