Spurs have been the most consistent side in the Premier League so far this season with their only defeat coming against Man Utd on the opening day of the season and as a result they are being talked up as genuine title challengers in some quarters. They’ve fared well in the Europa League as well and are already through to the knockout stages, though they need a point here to secure top spot, while Monaco must win and hope Anderlecht fail to beat Qarabag at home to progress.
Spurs have won both their Europa League home games so far, against Anderlecht and Qarabag, but failed to keep a clean sheet in either of those matches, which is in-keeping with their league form as both teams have scored in 10 of their last 12 home wins. Their Europa League home record since 2012/13 is an impressive W12-D4-L1, with both teams scoring in 13 of these matches and 13 also seeing at least three goals and eight having at least four. We have Monaco as the 21st best side in Europe at the moment – though their transfer policy in the past year has left them as a weaker side than that – and Spurs’ European home record against sides ranked between 15th and 40th since 2008/09 is W4-D4-L0, with clean sheets in half of these matches.
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Monaco find themselves in fourth in a congested Ligue 1 table, with the exception of PSG, as just 10 points separate Angers in second and Ajaccio in 15th. They look a completely different side from last season following the departure of a number key players over the summer as only Bordeaux and the bottom-two sides have a worse defensive record than them this season and they’ve only conceded three fewer goals than they did in the entirety of last season when they had the best defence in the division. Monaco’s defeat at Anderlecht was their only loss in this Europa League campaign, though they’ve had three draws with all their games being tight affairs with fewer than three goals. Indeed, if we include their Champions League campaign last season then 14 of their 15 European matches had fewer than three goals, the exception being that memorable 3-1 win over Spurs’ North London rivals Arsenal.
Both teams have found the net in both of Monaco’s Europa League away matches this season and with them needing to win this game this one could be a good watch with their defence much less solid than last season. As a result, both teams to score looks a solid bet in this one, particularly with Fabinho and Toulalon out for Monaco and Coentrao also a doubt. Indeed, Monaco are decimated by injuries at the moment so we wouldn’t put any one off backing Spurs here, with them to win and Monaco to score worth a punt.
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