Villa’s second-half record in their last 51 matches reads W2-D21-L29.
Remi Garde picked up his second point since taking over at Villa but their winless streak has stretched to four months and 14 games after the 1-1 with Southampton. Moreover, if Man City and the Saints had been more ruthless in taking their chances then they could well have been looking at just one point from those 14 matches rather than three. Either way it is desperate times and they won’t want to be reminded of how they lost their two meetings with Arsenal last season by a combined margin of eight goals.
For the Gunners, they along with Leicester were the only sides in the top nine to win last weekend and things got even better in midweek as they managed to qualify for the Last 16 of the Champions League. A win here will send them top and they’ve won 11 of 12 trips to bottom-six finishers in the past two seasons, with seven victories by more than one goal.
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The change of manager hasn’t changed Villa’s second-half record and in their last 51 matches they’ve gone W2-D21-L29 for the second 45 minutes. In contrast Arsenal have won the second half in eight of their last 16 matches (W8-D5-L1) as they’ve recorded five Draw/Win doubles. Garde has certainly looked to make Villa tougher to beat but Arsenal will surely wear them down eventually and the Draw/Arsenal looks a great price at 4.70.
Six of Villa’s last nine home games have had fewer than two goals and given they’re still struggling to score or create chances Under 2.5 Goals looks to have a chance. In contrast, Ramsey, Walcott, Ozil, Campbell and Giroud offer the opportunity for plenty of goals for Arsenal, though the absence of Alexis Sanchez means the attack isn’t at its most lethal. However, the goals market looks a tough one to call and we’ll stick to the half-time full-time bet.
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