Watford are up to seventh in the table following a third consecutive win that has lifted them above their more illustrious visitors. Jurgen Klopp, meanwhile, is struggling to turn Liverpool around, even if he was delighted with a point at home against West Brom last weekend, as talk of the top four looks very premature.
Breaking Watford’s successes down this season we see that five of their seven wins have come against teams currently in the bottom six, while they’ve lost all five of their matches against the current top six. The three teams they play after this are Spurs, Chelsea, and Man City, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see them start to fall back over the festive period, however, this looks a decent chance to continue their good form as Liverpool are a tough team to trust on the road. The Reds have won just three of 12 away matches at middle-third teams since the start of last season and while they won all three trips to promoted sides last term in the four years prior to that their record in these matches was a woeful W3-D2-L7.
Watford have been efficient rather than exciting as six of their eight home games have had fewer than three goals and both teams have scored only once. It’s been effective though, and they’ve trailed just once at half-time in their 16 matches as they’ve conceded just three goals before the break. Liverpool, meanwhile, have been level at half-time in 10 of their last 12 matches and in 16 of their last 24 on the road. Scoring continues to be inconsistent for Klopp’s team, and with Daniel Sturridge injured again and Christian Benteke in poor form they are struggling up front. For Watford things are much easier as the partnership of Deeney and Ighalo has been one of the best in the league. Deeney has now scored in four of his last six matches and is 3.6 to find the net again.
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