United haven’t won this fixture since 2011/12 and they come into this match with their fewest ever points after 18 weeks of a Premier League season. They’ve scored just three goals and picked up two points in their last five league games and have lost their last four in all competitions. The second half at Stoke showed an improvement but clear cut chances remained rare and we can’t back them in their current form. However, it’s hard to back a Chelsea side whose only three wins in their last 12 matches have all come against teams currently in the bottom four. Furthermore, their last six road trips have brought just two points and the last three have seen them score only once. To put into perspective just how bad they’ve been they are 10 points behind United. This fixture has finished all square in each of the past two seasons and in a match both teams look incapable of winning a repeat would be far from surprising, and at 3.3 is worth a punt.
United’s problems have been well documented, with only Liverpool in the top half having scored fewer goals this season, and their last 24 matches have averaged just 2.00 goals per game as they scored only 25 times in total while failing to score on 10 separate occasions. Furthermore, half the 10 home games in this time had fewer than two goals.
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Chelsea have only scored one more goal than United this season and they will be without Diego Costa for this match after he picked up a suspension following the 2-2 with Watford, in which he’d scored twice. The Blues’ average goals scored since the start of last season has fallen from 1.86 per game when Costa has started to just 1.39 per game without him, as seven of their last 13 matches without the striker have had fewer than two goals. With both sets of players seemingly struggling with the pressure this promises to be a tense affair and Under 1.5 Goals looks a generous price.
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