Liverpool got a rare away win on Wednesday but a victory here would be a more significant result. Since the start of last season Liverpool have won only 12 of 29 away matches while losing 11 times and the recent defeats at Watford and Newcastle should ensure there is no getting carried away after the narrow win at Sunderland.
West Ham were 3-0 winners at Anfield back in August and they come into this game unbeaten in their last six matches and last seven at home. Admittedly a lot of those have been draws but they’ve also occurred during a period where they’ve been struggling with injuries to key players. The good news is that Manuel Lanzini is expected to be fit to start and Dimitri Payet may also be ready to make the bench. Moses, Sakho and Reid are still out but their options are improving and they won this fixture 3-1 last season. Moreover, Liverpool have won just three of their 13 trips to middle-third teams since 2014/15 while losing five times.
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The reason for the Reds struggles in those matches has been their lack of goals – just eight in 13. Nine of the last 11 of those games have had fewer than three goals and seven have had fewer than two while six have been goalless at half-time. Seven of West Ham’s last nine matches have had no more than a brace of goals as have four of their last five at home against top-half teams. Furthermore, with a few extra days rest and the advantage of playing at home the Hammers defence should have a great chance of marshalling the Reds attack.
The Hammers have lost just two of the 11 matches that Lanzini has started this season, including being unbeaten at home, and his return along with the possibility of Payet making some sort of appearance certainly makes the Hammers look great value here.
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