The Toon picked up a point when these teams met at Old Trafford earlier in the season in a sign of things to come for United fans as that was the first of their league-high five nil-nils this term. There’s little guarantee that this match will offer up any more goals as collectively these teams have failed to score in five of their last six league matches.
Newcastle have lost only two of their last seven home matches but they’ve scored just three times in the last five of those and a lack of goals is the main reason they find themselves in the bottom three. They’ve failed to score in four of their six home games against teams in the top 11 this season as four of those matches have ended in defeat, while four have had fewer than three goals as they’ve conceded just seven times themselves.
Man Utd’s home games have been the lowest scoring of any English League side this season and their away matches have hardly been goal-fests either. Just one of their last 25 road trips has seen more than three goals, although 17 have landed in the 2-3 goals bracket with just seven having fewer than two. Their lack of goals has resulted in just 10 wins in their 29 away matches since the start of last season (W10-D10-L9) with just two wins by more than one goal as they’ve actually had a negative goal difference. This includes a W5-D6-L4 record at bottom-half teams and so we’d have to look at opposing them at odds-on, with the Newcastle-Draw Double Chance a 2.1 shot.
In the under/over goals market we’d definitely be leaning towards a low scoring game and the half-time draw is worth considering. Newcastle’s last six matches have seen just two first-half goals while only one of the last 11 has had more than one strike before the break. Moreover, 10 of their 13 home games against top-half teams since the start of last season have been level at half-time with eight being goalless. Eight of United’s last 11 matches have been all-square at half-time as have 15 of their last 25 away matches.
Given all the half-time draws in both teams’ stats, if you fancy United to collect the three points then it could pay to be on the HT/FT market. Newcastle have lost the second half in six of their last eight matches and six of their last 10 home defeats have been Draw/Loss doubles. Meanwhile, half of United’s 10 away wins since 2014/15 have come after being level at the break but it should be noted that they’ve also had eight Draw/Draw doubles in this time.
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