Liverpool’s makeshift side could only manage a 2-2 draw in the Cup on Friday night and they are once again short of options in both attack and defence. So this is probably not the best time for them to be facing a team they’ve beaten just twice in their last 17 meetings.
The Reds have scored just 12 goals in their last 10 home games and three of those were against Aston Villa while the only other time they scored twice was against West Brom when they needed a last ditch equaliser to rescue a point. With Coutinho, Ings, Origi and Sturridge all out it’s hard to see the scoring stats improving imminently and they’ve lost to nil in three of their last six matches while Arsenal have won to nil in their last two games.
The Gunners conceded four times in their last away match, on Boxing Day at Southampton, but their defence has otherwise been very solid in the past month and their can be few complaints with their recent form. Furthermore, they’ve won five of their last seven trips to teams placed 4th-12th and given all Liverpool’s injuries this is a perfect chance for another three points. The Reds defence is without Skrtel, Lovren, and Sakho, while Toure is a doubt, and with Arsenal having scored in all but four of their 29 away matches since the start of last season (both trips to Chelsea and Southampton) we certainly expect the league leaders to strike at some point.
Arsenal’s team looks superior across the park for this game and it may pay to look at the Half-Time/Full-Time market. Liverpool have lost 15 times in their last 50 games and seven have been Draw/Loss doubles while the Gunners have recorded four Draw/Wins in their 10 away games this term. However, with their current price just backing an Arsenal win at 2.55 looks a fair bet.
One strong trend for Arsenal’s away matches has been for matches to have either two or three goals, with this occurring in 15 of their last 20 road trips, and given Liverpool’s attack doesn’t suggest they can contribute more than one goal while neither does their defence look capable of a clean sheet the Exact Goals bracket of 2-3 is our pick at 2.1.
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