Spurs suffered a second defeat in three home games on Wednesday as they failed to take their chances and were ultimately punished from a late set piece. Sunderland, meanwhile, took full advantage of some very generous refereeing to win 4-2 at relegation rivals Swansea, courtesy of a Jermain Defoe hat-trick.
Spurs have been somewhat inconsistent at home this season and in their last 10 matches here they’ve scored at least three goals on four occasions but have netted just twice in the other six combined. In contrast, Sunderland’s away record has tended to be much easier to predict as they’ve conceded at least twice in 10 of their last 12 road games, and at least three times in seven. The Black Cats have lost eight of their nine trips to top-six teams since the start of last season while conceding 28 goals.
Spurs’ habit of being either fantastic or a bit average has meant that five of their last six wins have come by more than one goal and while Sunderland have won their last two games those have both been against relatively weak opposition and doesn’t suggest a sudden significant improvement. Furthermore, the head-to-head record between these two shows a very one-sided history as Spurs have won eight of the last 10 (drawing the other two) including each of the last four meetings here.
Harry Kane will be the man Spurs look to for goals and it was against Sunderland that he scored his first ever Premier League goal. At 1.83 he’s a reasonable price to find the target and given he’s scored at least twice in eight of the last 17 Premier League matches in which he’s scored he’s worth backing to grab a double at 4.5. Sunderland’s main man is of course Defoe, who is Tottenham’s fifth highest scorer of all time, but Spurs have the best defensive record in the league this season and unless he finds a similarly friendly linesman as in midweek he’s unlikely to get the same chances again in what should be a comfy home win.
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