Everton have to be the most underperforming side in the league as only four sides have won fewer games this season and they’ve been guilty of throwing numerous points away with naive defending. Swansea are another side who will feel they should be higher up the table, though given they are the second lowest scorers in the league – whereas Everton are the second highest – it would be hard to make a good justification for that.
Given the talent at Roberto Martinez’s disposal one win in nine is very disappointing and while they were obviously unlucky last weekend they should have protected their initial two-goal lead much better. No English league ground is averaging more goals per game this season than Goodison and Aston Villa are the only one of the last 13 visitors not to score here. However, with Lukaku, Deulofeu, and Barkley all in good form the Toffees attack is doing a decent job of making up for these defensive issues and the last three teams to come here that are currently found in the bottom half have been sent packing 4-0, 6-2 and 3-1.
The good news for Tim Howard and the rest of the Everton defence is that Swansea’s attack has been dire since scoring seven times in the opening four games of the season. They’ve failed to score in half their 18 matches since and they’ve lost six of their last eight away matches, with the only game they scored twice in being a trip to hapless Villa.
The historic head-to-head between these teams doesn’t make for much better reading if you’re a Swans fan either, as a Capital Once Cup win at the start of last season is the only time they’ve ever beaten Everton, who have won 13 of the 21 league meetings.
Defensively things look much better for Swansea and with this being a case of an ‘overs’ side against an ‘unders’ team there’s no strong call on the goals market. However, where Swansea have found life particularly difficult is in the second half, as 11 of their 15 away defeats since the start of last season have come after being level at half-time and there looks to be value in this method of victory for Everton.
Romelu Lukaku has scored in five of his last six home games, including two doubles, and has also netted in three of his five starts against Swansea. At 2.15 to score he looks well worth a punt.
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