Newcastle have been looking to splash the cash on some forwards as deadline day comes to it’s conclusion in an attempt to keep their Premier League status alive. Scoring certainly hasn’t been a problem for their hosts here as Everton have more goals than Arsenal this season, however, Everton have conceded as many as Chelsea and in the context of this season that is a very bad thing.
The combination of Everton’s attack and defence has resulted in just one win in their last 10 matches with six finishing all-square and it is hard to hide that they’ve thrown away a lot of points this season in matches as they’ve become the football equivalent to Anna Kournikova – looks great but never wins. However, that win in the last 10 was against Newcastle and they must fancy their chances of the double in front of the Goodison faithful. Certainly when they are victorious it’s often quite comfortable and all of their last 12 home wins have come after leading at half-time while nine have been by more than one goal. With Newcastle having lost 18 of their last 24 away matches there is certainly a very good argument for the Toffees finding their more clinical side and getting the three points, with the Everton/Everton HT/FT double looking an excellent price at 2.65.
However, the Toon has been boosted by reinforcements as Saivet, Shelvey, Townsend, Doumbia and maybe more, have arrived in recent weeks. The attack looks to have been the area that Steve McClaren has targeted as being most in need of improvement and they may look to show some adventure as they try to play their way out of trouble. With only Villa having failed to score at Goodison this season Newcastle will certainly feel they can find the net here, even if it is too soon for the additions to make much impact. Though whether they can stop Everton scoring several is doubtful.
Six of Everton’s last nine home matches against bottom-half teams have had at least four goals while nine of the last 10 meetings between these teams have seen at least three. Over 3.5 Goals can be backed at 2.7 but we just prefer the HT/FT bet, though at 1.91 Romelu Lukaku is a tempting price to score against one of his favourite opponents. The Belgian has only enjoyed more success against West Ham as he’s netted five times in six starts against Newcastle.
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