Ten of the last 11 matches at the Etihad have produced three goals or more.
Super Sunday finishes with another cracker as Spurs travel to Man City. They could be as many as eight points off the lead by the time they kick off and this is another huge six-pointer in terms of where the title might end up.
Man City have not won back-to-back league games since early October, when they beat Newcastle 6-1 and then Bournemouth 5-1, and they obviously can’t win back-to-back here after losing last weekend. This has largely been down to their poor away form but their defeat to Leicester was their third at home already this season and that is more home defeats than they’ve suffered in any of their last five seasons – they’ve not suffered more than three since the 2008/09 season when they came 10th, and that was also the last time they lost consecutive matches at the Etihad. Furthermore, their record against the rest of the current top six this season is a woeful W0-D3-L4, so their form is not good.
In contrast, Spurs have won four in a row and have lost only twice since an opening day defeat at Old Trafford. Furthermore, that loss was their last on the road as they’ve gone 11 games since without losing. Defensively they’ve been solid all season and the attack is also in good form as no side has scored more in their last five games. In previous campaigns their record at the best teams has generally been terrible – picking up two points from 10 matches at the top six finishers in the past two seasons – but at the current top six they’ve gone W1-D3-L1 this term and their performances have been improving as the season has progressed.
On current form City look too short at close to evens but they still have a fantastic scoring record at home. That has contributed to 10 of their last 11 matches here having at least three goals as they’ve kept just two clean sheets in that time. Moreover, eight of their 12 home matches against top-six finishers in the past two seasons and teams currently in the top six this term have had more than a brace, with half having four or more strikes. We can certainly see Spurs scoring against this defence and seven of the last nine clashes between the teams have had at least four goals. So while we wouldn’t put anyone off taking Spurs on the Double Chance at 1.83 we just about prefer the Over 2.5 Goals market at 1.75.
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