Goals backers should collect when Liverpool take on Man City in the PL on Wednesday night.
After facing each other not only for 120 minutes but a penalty shootout as well these two sides line-up against each other for the second time in a matter of days.
Liverpool won their last league game 6-0 but beating Aston Villa and beating Man City are very different challenges. However, after losing back-to-back league matches against Spurs and Leicester and then being knocked out of the FA Cup, Man City are at still at a low point despite Sunday’s success.
In their past 13 league games Liverpool have won five times but four of those were against teams currently in the bottom five and they’ve also lost five times in the same period. With two defeats in their last 10 home matches they’ve been harder to beat at Anfield but where they’ve been losing on the road they’ve just been drawing at home. Half of the 10 matches have finished all-square and nine were level at half-time.
Last season the Reds went W2-D1-L2 at home against the five teams that finished above them while this season they’ve gone W1-D2-L1 against the current top six so it would suggest that all results are equally likely. The only clean sheet they kept in those nine matches was against Leicester this term as both teams scored in seven of the nine.
Man City’s form is poor and they’ve lost five of their last 14 matches as they’ve struggled at both ends of the pitch. Their normally reliable home record has been letting them down recently but just two wins in their last nine away games has seen them lose a lot of ground in the race for the tile. Even those wins, against Watford and Sunderland, were hardly impressive and four of the nine matches have finished all-square as they’ve failed to score on four occasions.
However, we expect them to score against this suspect Liverpool defence and in the past two seasons they’ve gone W10-D4-L4 away to teams that finished 4th-12th while failing to score only once. Away to teams currently occupying those spots this term they’ve gone W2-D2-L1 and since 2011/12 they’ve scored in all nine of their matches against Liverpool. Both teams have scored in eight of these nine matches and including the season before that it is 10 of their last 11 meetings that have had at least three goals. Despite playing one of the most forgettable halves of a Cup final in recent memory there were more than enough chances on Sunday for the Over 2.5 Goals market to be settled. Backers of our tip in that game can point their fury towards Raheem Sterling.
The draw looks the best value in the match outcome markets but we certainly prefer City’s price to Liverpool given they are the outsiders. Neither attack is operating at their maximum at the moment, and certainly not with any consistency, but we still expect both teams to score and Over 2.5 Goals looks a decent price at 2.00 as both teams will need to chase a precious three points. That brings us to several correct scores: 1-1, 2-2 and 1-2 that are worth a punt.
Click here to find out more about Football Form Labs