Poland v Serbia (Wed 19:45)
After scoring just once in their opening six games under current boss Adam Nawalka Poland have since scored in 15 of 16, with two or more in 12 of those. As a result 12 of their last 16 matches have had at least three goals, including eight of 10 at home and four of five home friendlies. Despite Serbia’s recent poor form they’ve failed to score just twice in their last 20 matches and both teams have scored in eight of their last 10 friendlies. The price for Poland to win looks about right but we prefer the goals markets here as we expect both teams to score.
Italy v Spain (Thu 19:45)
Italy have won just three of their last 21 friendlies – one of which was against San Marino – and while they are unbeaten in matches here since November 2012 they’ve only scored seven times in their last six home games. Going forward the Italian squad is relatively inexperienced with Graziano Pelle their leading scorer on four international goals and they probably won’t have a lot of chances to improve that here. Spain’s forwards aren’t their strongest department either but they have so many quality attacking midfielders in their squad that they should be able to fashion a win here, though the 1-0 and 2-0 scores are what appeal most.
Czech Republic v Scotland (Thu 19:45)
In contrast Scotland have won seven of their last 11 friendlies and have scored in their last six of these on the road with both teams scoring in five and four having at least three goals. Only once in their last 16 games have Scotland failed to score and with no Petr Cech in goal for the Czechs they will fancy their chances of continuing that good record here. We have Scotland ranked at 51 in our rankings and the Czech’s record against teams ranked 26-75 since the start of 2014 is just W3-D2-L5 with both teams scoring in eight and at least three goals also in eight. The home side look too short at 1.83 and we like the Scotland-Draw Double Chance at 2.15 or even the long shot of Scotland to Win and Both Teams to Score at 10.0. However, our best bet for this game is for both teams to score.
Wales v Northern Ireland (Thu 19:45)
Defensively both teams were excellent in qualifying as Wales conceded just once in five home games and Northern Ireland only let in more than one on one occasion. Michael O’Neill has certainly not made his team into a hugely exciting outfit as 22 of the last 28 games he’s been in charge for have had fewer than three goals. Furthermore, that includes nine of their last 11 away games, with one of the ‘overs’ being against the Faroes, and with six of these matches being goalless at half-time. With Wales missing their two best players there’s not much between these sides, but with Northern Ireland yet to score in six away friendlies under O’Neill – the last five of which have seen five goals in total – we don’t expect a lot of goalmouth action.