We pick out the best bets from all five Saturday 3pm KO's in the Premier League.
Everton v Bournemouth
After Wembley heartbreak Roberto Martinez must try and pick his team up despite nothing to play for. Their form at Goodison has been particularly disappointing this term with just one win in their last 10 here. However, the Cherries have seemingly relaxed since reaching virtual safety as they’ve lost four of their last five games while conceding 14 goals and only beating Villa. The Toffees remaining home game after this is against fellow promoted side Norwich so they have a good chance to finish with a flourish and since 2012/13 they’ve won seven of 10 here against promoted teams. Both teams scored in eight of those including in five wins and with a few defensive issues – Jagielka, Coleman and Funes Mori all out – if they are to win it’s probably not going to be with a clean sheet.
Newcastle v Crystal Palace
Palace have a Cup Final to look forward to but their loss of form in the league – they’ve won just one of their last 18 – means they are not quite safe yet. Newcastle, meanwhile, have given themselves a chance of survival after three games unbeaten. Palace might not be winning but they have picked up points from trips to Arsenal and West Ham in their last three road trips so they look to be doing enough and their record away to bottom-half finishers last term and those currently in the bottom half this is an excellent W7-D8-L3. Newcastle are a lot better at home than on the road but at Evens they look too short against a good counter-attacking side that has already beaten then 5-1 this season.
Stoke v Sunderland
Stoke have had a tough run of games but conceding four times in each of their last three is a shocking effort and only Villa have conceded more over the last 20 games. Sunderland have climbed out of the bottom three but with six wins in 36 away matches since the start of last season they look a bit short here regardless of the Potters troubles. Both teams have scored in nine of the Black Cats last 12 away matches as they only once failed to strike and while Stoke have been struggling at the back their attack should be strengthened here by the return of Shaqiri.
Watford v Aston Villa
Aston Villa are going down in embarrassing fashion with 10 straight defeats. So can they get anything here against a Watford side with nothing to play for? Their record at promoted teams since 2010/11 of W2-D6-L9 certainly wouldn’t suggest so. The last eight of those have all had fewer than three goals and that is also the case in 12 of their last 15 trips to bottom-half teams. Watford’s form isn’t great but they’ve conceded only 15 times at home all season and six of their seven matches here against the bottom-half have had fewer than three strikes. There may be nothing to play for here but that doesn’t automatically mean a free-flowing game and with both teams having scored just nine times each in their last 15 matches it’s probably a good thing this is not on TV.
West Brom v West Ham
West Brom have been troubling the teams at the top recently, taking points off Spurs, Leicester and Man Utd. The Baggies home record against top-half teams since midway through last season is an impressive W7-D3-L2 but the Hammers have lost just twice in their last 21 games. Bilic’s side are currently enjoying some excellent form going forward, having scored at least twice in six consecutive matches. They’ve been conceding freely as well though and their last six matches have all had at least four goals. Both teams have scored in five of the last six meetings between these teams and also in five of West Brom’s last six when hosting top-half teams. That is certainly a tempting price at 1.95 but we prefer the longer shot of Over 3.5 Goals.