Swansea v Liverpool - Sunday 12:00, BT Sport 1

Swansea were thumped 4-0 at Leicester last week and following on from their 3-0 defeat at Newcastle their motivation has to be questioned. Liverpool, meanwhile, threw away a 2-0 lead against Newcastle in their last league game and their focus may well be on the Europa League semi-final second leg.

The Swans home form is actually pretty good, having won their last three at the Liberty Stadium, all by 1-0 scores, and with just two defeats in their last nine here. Their record here against top-half teams since the start of last season of W6-D4-L8 pretty accurately reflects the prices on offer for this match and exactly half have had fewer than three goals. In terms of the head-to-head though this is a match-up that the Swans have struggled in; they’ve not won in seven meetings and have lost each of the last four.

Liverpool have been looking sharp lately but they failed to take advantage of a favourable fixture list to make it four wins in a row last week and there are certainly question marks about their defence. Mamadou Sakho’s ban might not have the most significant impact but he had established himself as a regular this season. In their last 12 away matches they’ve kept just two clean sheets, and those were against the attacks of Aston Villa and Sunderland. This has certainly contributed to a continuing inconsistency away from Anfield and they’ve gone W7-D0-L5 in those 12 games while since the start of last season they’ve won only two more away matches than they’ve lost (W16-D6-L14).

With question marks about both teams motivation here we’ll stick to the goals markets. Going back to the Reds 5-4 win at Norwich seven of their 12 matches have had at least four goals with 10 having at least three. Furthermore, all four of their trips to bottom-half teams in this time have had at least three strikes as while they might have issues at the back there don’t look to be any problems going forward. For their part, Swansea have only failed to score once in their last eight home games and look to have a fully fit squad available.

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Over 3.5 Goals - 1pt @ 3.4