Chelsea had a clear desire to stop Spurs from winning the league a couple of games ago but another defeat at the weekend suggests that they’re now waiting for the season to be over. A game against Liverpool could potentially inspire them but that seems unlikely given the Reds aren’t exactly fighting for anything significant and this fixture won’t attract the attention that might have been envisaged when the fixture was pulled out last summer.
Liverpool might not be too fussed about this match either as they think about protecting players ahead of the Europa Cup Final in a week’s time. All of which makes this a game where the match outcome markets are possibly best avoided, at least without knowledge of the final line-ups.
The Reds improving form, particularly at Anfield where they’ve lost just one of their last 12 matches, suggests that if they pick a strong team they will be worth backing though. And given Jurgen Klopp’s liking of celebrating with the home fans it wouldn’t be too surprising if they went with a strong XI for this final home game and then rest players away at West Brom on the weekend, particularly having rotated at the weekend. Furthermore, they can still finish sixth in the league and while they might qualify for the Champions League by winning in a week’s time, guaranteeing a European spot before then would be a bonus. Given John Terry’s suspension has weakened Chelsea at the back, and their loss rate has gone from 18% when he’s started since the beginning of last season to 33% otherwise, we’re happy to guess that Liverpool will approach this with more intensity and back them at 2.05.
Goals should also be on the cards, with five of Chelsea’s last seven games seeing at least four and nine of their last 11 matches having more than two goals. Furthermore, ever since Kurt Zouma was injured they’ve struggled at the back and with Terry banned those problems should be exacerbated. They’ve managed one clean sheet in 12 and that was against Aston Villa, while both teams have scored in eight of the last nine league meetings between Chelsea and Liverpool.
Klopp has turned Liverpool into a far more effective attacking side but defensively they remain vulnerable. The net result of that has been that nine of their last 16 matches have had at least four goals while 12 have had three or more. This is even more the case at Anfield, where they’ve scored 18 times in their last seven games and four of the matches have had at least four strikes. Over 3.5 Goals is definitely worth backing here at 2.75 but given that five of the last six wins for either side in league matches between these teams has been while the other side scored, Liverpool to win and both teams to score is another market we like the look of.
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