A late Jamie Vardy winner was enough to see off Turkey last Sunday as England continue their preparation for Euro 2016 with a friendly against old enemy Australia, but Roy Hodgson will be without the Leicester man for this one as he’s getting married, with Marcus Rashford expected to make his debut in Vardy’s absence.
With the victory over Turkey, England continued their strong post-World Cup record which now reads W15-D2-L2 in Euro Qualifiers and friendlies. Their record in home friendlies since 2008 is W16-D3-L4 and those defeats have come against some of the bigger names in international football: France, Chile, Germany and the Netherlands. According to our rankings, England are the 14th best team in the world, while Australia are 40th and England’s record when hosting sides ranked outside the top-30 but in the top-75 in all internationals since 2009 is W11-D3-L0. They led at the break in half of these games, seven of their wins were without conceding and seven were also by more than one goal.
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Australia have already started their World Cup Qualification campaign and have made it through to the next round, which begins in August, having seen off the likes of Bangladesh and Tajikistan. The Aussies lost all three of their World Cup games in the ‘group of death’ alongside Spain, Netherlands and Chile but bounced back strongly by winning their first Asian Cup in 2015. Their record when travelling to sides ranked in the world’s top-25 since 2008 is W2-D3-L4 as they managed a win over the Netherlands and a win and a draw against Germany. However, they failed to score in all four of their defeats and three were by more than two goals, while they trailed at the break in six of these nine matches.
England are as short as 1.25 to win this one but the best way to get them on-side looks to be by backing them to win without conceding. Australia will be without their talisman and all-time leading goalscorer Tim Cahill because this fixture clashes with his club commitments at Hangzhou Greentown. The former Everton man has been in great form for his country, netting eight goals in the last four games he’s started, and without him to deal with, England will expect to keep a clean sheet, as they have done in their last five home friendlies against sides ranked outside the top-25 in the world.
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