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Brazil have won all 11 of their games against sides ranked outside the world’s top-50 since 2010, with nine of these wins coming without conceding. Indeed, under Dunga, Brazil have generally been solid defensively and the clean sheet against Ecuador was their third in their last five matches.
It can be tough when looking at games like this to make an assessment of the goals markets. For example what do strong teams do when playing their weakest opposition in the tournament? Do they thrash them to make their mark on the competition or do they get ahead and rest their players for the bigger matches to come? We’ve got 20 matches in our database this millennium where a team ranked in the top-10 in the world has faced a team ranked 51-100 in a group stage match of a Major tournament and interestingly 14 of the games have had Under 2.5 Goals and eight Under 1.5 Goals. With no Neymar Under 2.5 Goals at 2.30 appeals.
Haiti are the lowest ranked side we have in this competition and their record against side’s ranked in the world’s top-25 is W0-D1-L7 since 2010 as they failed to score in five of these seven defeats. Nevue’s side have only managed one goal in their last six competitive matches and with that in mind, we’re backing Brazil to win without conceding in this one.