The Oddschecker columnist thinks Italy are cracking value to beat the world champions.
The Welsh are a very proud nation and this could be one of the proudest nights in the country’s history should they knock Belgium out of Euro 2016 and book a semi-final place.
The England game apart, Chris Coleman’s side have been magnificent in this tournament and I’ve got no intention of underestimating their chances of beating Belgium.
It looks a tough ask on paper given how good Belgium looked against Hungary. Hazard appears to have rediscovered the sort of form that made him crowned PFA Player of the Year in 2015 and the loss of key defenders Jan Vertonghen and Thomas Vermaelen might actually work out in Belgium's favour because it should encourage Marc Wilmots to play out-and-out full backs, which will offer the side more width and balance than it had in the opening matches.
However, Wales have threats of their own - they have one of the best players in the world – and they have a unique togetherness that you don’t see in many international sides. I don’t buy this popular opinion that Bale has been the best player in the tournament so far - he hasn’t, despite scoring three goals. The entire side, to a man, has lifted its performance levels and that is the reason why Wales are doing so well.
Both sides are strong offensively and although I don’t have a clear view on who will go through to the next round, I think the best bet of the game is Both Teams To Score at best odds 5/4. I also fancy a small wager on the 1-1 Correct Score after 90 minutes.
On Saturday night my outright tip for the tournament, Italy, face Germany in Bordeaux and I’m all over Anotnio Conte’s side to take another big scalp. For me they have looked the best side in the tournament so far and Germany will not be allowed to control the game as they did against Slovakia.
I think a lot of people have been surprised by the quality of Italy’s offensive play in this tournament and that is backed up by a peerless defensive unit who know every trick in the book. I can’t believe Italy are as big as 3/1 to beat Germany in 90 minutes and they are my bet of the quarter-finals.
Finally, back both teams to find the net when France face Iceland in the Stade de France on Sunday night. This is Iceland’s final and although I expect France to go through, don’t expect England’s conquerors to go down with a fight. They have quality in the forward areas and, as we found out to our cost on Monday, they are more than capable of causing problems for bigger nations, especially at set-pieces. France haven’t really impressed me so far and they are by no means watertight defensively, so get on Both Teams To Score at best odds 6/4.