Sydney v Melbourne City – Friday 08:50

After thumping city rivals Western Sydney 5-0, the league leaders have now won four on the trot, and 3rd placed Melbourne City are going to need something from this one to stay in the title race as they lie six points behind, with an inferior goal difference to boot. The visitors have won three of four road trips so far, including at 2nd placed Newcastle Jets in their last away day, and are one of only three teams to escape the Allianz Stadium with a point since the start of last season.

However, we’re not confident taking Sydney on given they’ve won 11 of their last 12 at home, but since they’ve only kept one clean sheet in five there this term, while Melbourne have only failed to score in three of their 37 matches since the start of last season, both teams to score stands out as the value bet. 

Both Teams To Score - 1pt @ 15/16

Central Coast Mariners v Western Sydney Wanderers – Saturday 08:50, BT Sport 2

Since an opening day victory at home, Western Sydney have since failed to win any of their eight matches, losing the last three of these as they’ve shipped nine goals without reply. With that in mind, we’re surprised to see them as favourites away to a Central Coast side above them in the table. The Mariners may have lost twice in their last four, but these were narrow defeats against top-four sides and excluding results against such opposition, they’re W6-D4-L2 over their last 12. However, given Western Sydney have managed to draw in four of their last five road trips, including at each of the top three, we think there’s greater value about the stalemate.

Draw - 1pt @ 11/4

AZ Alkmaar v Ajax – Sunday 13:30, Sky Sports Mix

Ajax have been big scorers this term, netting 35 goals in their last nine games prior to hosting Heerenveen on Thursday, and 22 in their last five on the road. Unsurprisingly, each of these trips saw at least four goals, while AZ have also been in the goals as they’ve netted 13 across their last four at the AFAS Stadion.

Their games against the ‘Big Three’ have been chaotic affairs in recent times as 15 of 20 since 2014/15 have seen at least four goals, while eight of the last 10 saw an AZ loss and over 3.5 goals. Ajax have won this fixture 4-1 in the last two editions of this fixture, and having scored 10 goals in three games against the top-five this term, certainly have the tools to unlock AZ’s defence so we’re happy to stick with the straight win at odds against. 

Ajax - 1pt @ 13/10