Away from the big teams this week, we have found three value bets to be had from La Liga.
Athletic Bilbao v Las Palmas – Friday 20:00, Sky Sports
Athletic Bilbao are winless in four but have a fantastic opportunity to get back to winning ways here as they host one of the division’s worst travellers. Las Palmas are picking up points regularly at home but away from Gran Canaria they’ve lost nine of their 11 matches, only winning at bottom-club Malaga and failing to score in all nine defeats. Bilbao’s W3-D5-L2 record at home this season doesn’t look great on the surface, but they’ve only faced three sides that are currently in the bottom half, keeping a clean sheet in each and beating the sole bottom-six visitor. Over the previous two season’s the Basque club won an impressive 16 of 20 unbeaten matches against bottom-half finishers at San Mames and for a side that have conceded just six times there this term, the Bilbao win to nil is our best bet.
Sevilla v Girona – Sunday 11:00, Sky Sports
Sevilla just about remain in 6th but they’re certainly not playing like a top-six side with a W1-D2-L5 record across their last eight despite playing just one team above them in this run. The most recent was a 5-1 hammering at Eibar, the second time they’ve conceded this many in Vincenzo Montella’s five games since taking over from Eduardo Berizzo. Usually reliant on their home form, even this is starting to slip as they’re winless in three with draws against the other two promoted sides. Sevilla’s most influential midfielder Ever Banega is also suspended so it looks a good time to take them on, especially with a Girona side that continue to impress. They’re a decent W3-D5-L3 on the road in their debut La Liga season with their only defeats in the last 10 of these at high-flying Eibar and Valencia. They registered a stalemate at Atletico more recently and look well equipped to leave with at least a point.
Deportivo v Real Betis – Monday 20:00, Sky Sports
It’s desperate times for Deportivo who are slipping further from safety following a run of five defeats from seven winless games. The bulk of their issues are at the back with some kamikaze defending resulting in the concession of 22 goals across those seven matches. They’re missing the injured Sidnei marshalling the rear-guard as they’ve conceded a staggering 18 times in the last four he’s missed, but on home soil Depor have at least been scoring regularly making us think there will be plenty of goals in this one. Indeed, they’ve only failed to net when hosting the two Madrid giants as three of their last five have had at least four strikes. Real Betis have been involved in their fair share of high-scoring encounters as no side’s matches in La Liga have seen more goals than theirs. Over 3.5 Goals has landed in half of their fixtures this season, including four of the last five. They too are without a key defender, the suspended Antonio Barragan, and without him this term all three matches have had four or more goals.