The best bets from the midweek Bundesliga action.
Schalke v Bayern - Tuesday 19:30, BT Sport 3
Schalke are two from two at the Veltins-Arena so far, including a win over Leipzig on the opening day. Indeed, they’ve started off much better than they did last term when they lost their opening five and were on the back foot throughout the campaign. Since that start they’ve been beaten only twice in 17 on their own turf. As a result, Bayern look too short at 1.42, particularly as they lost their last road game at Hoffenheim and are just W8-D3-L3 when travelling to sides outside the bottom-four since the start of last term. They won only three of these by more than one goal and since Schalke have gone W2-D3-L0 in their last five at home to top-six opponents and have started this campaign in promising fashion, we’re siding with the hosts +2 on the handicap.
Wolfsburg v Werder Bremen - Tuesday 19:30, BT Sport Extra 2
Wolfsburg haven’t had the best of starts this term as they’ve picked up only four points from their four games and yet they’re as short as 2.1 here against Bremen. They’ve won just five of their 19 home games since the start of last season and two of those were against last season’s bottom two. A large part of their price can be put down to Bremen’s poor start but they’ve had a tough run of fixtures. Their only defeats in their last 10 road games have come against top-five opposition and if we exclude such teams, they are W5-D5-L3 on their travels since the start of last term. However, both are affected by injuries, with key playmaker Zlatko Junuzovic’s absence for Werder a large reason for their total of just two goals this season while Mario Gomez’s absence was felt at the weekend by Wolfsburg as they lost 1-0 at new boys Stuttgart. In what should be a low scoring match the draw stands out as a value selection.
Hamburg v Dortmund - Wednesday 19:30, BT Sport ESPN
It’s been an excellent start to the season for Dortmund under new manager Peter Bosz as they top the Bundesliga ahead of this round of fixtures and are both biggest scorers and yet to concede a goal. They travel to a Hamburg side who typically struggle when hosting the top teams, as evidenced by their 2-0 defeat against Leipzig in their last home game, and that are missing their best attacker. Nicolai Muller injured himself celebrating the winner on the opening weekend and Hamburg have scored just once in three games since. Furthermore, they’ve failed to score in 53% of the 32 matches he’s failed to start since the 2014/15 season. BVB have been in excellent scoring form, led by Aubameyang, who already has four goals, and so we’re backing them to continue their impressive start and cover the -1 handicap.