Borussia Dortmund v Real Madrid - Tuesday 19:45, BT Sport ESPN
Dortmund’s 3-1 win at home to Freiburg on Friday night means they’ve now scored 20 goals in their last four games in all competitions, six of which came at Legia Warsaw on match day one. Real, meanwhile, have stumbled somewhat in the last week or so after they had to work hard to get past Sporting in their Champions League opener, drawing at home to Villarreal and then letting a lead slip at Las Palmas on the weekend to draw 2-2.
Dortmund were of course in the Europa League last term after their disappointing 2014/15 campaign, but their only blemishes at home in that competition were in their final group game against PAOK with a rotated side once qualification was secure and a 1-1 draw with Liverpool in their quarter-final first leg. However, this Real Madrid team will prove a much stiffer test than any Europa League side but Dortmund’s record when hosting sides that we have ranked in Europe’s top five is an impressive W3-D1-L0 since 2012/13.Indeed, all three of those victories came over Real themselves and the Spaniards have lost five of their six trips to the German powerhouses Bayern and Dortmund in the Champions League since 2006/07. What’s more, Real have won only two of their 11 visits to sides we have ranked in Europe’s top-10 since 2011/12 and as a result we’re backing Dortmund - Draw No Bet to continue their excellent form and take advantage of Real’s slight dip.