Celtic v Man City - Wednesday 19:45, BT Sport 2
Celtic warmed up for this in style – thrashing Kilmarnock 6-1 – as they become the latest side to try and end Man City’s 100% start to life under Pep Guardiola. It wasn’t City’s most impressive performance of the season as they won at Swansea at the weekend but the bigger concern will have been the sight of Kevin De Bruyne limping off.
Since De Bruyne joined City they’ve played 40 league games and have lost five of the 27 he’s started. They’ve lost just as many when he’s been out of the line-up, but from less than half as many games, and are certainly far less of a threat going forward without him. Given their vulnerability at the back they look too short for us; City have kept just three clean sheets in 18 away games in Europe since 2012/13.
Brendan Rodgers’ Celtic were embarrassed 7-0 in the Nou Camp in their opener but they should be more competitive at home. They’ve scored 32 goals at Celtic Park in eight home games across all competitions this season, while City have conceded in eight of their last nine away matches. Furthermore, they’ve lost just one of six ties here against English opposition since the start of the nineties, with just 12 goals scored in total in what have been tightly contested matches. Therefore we’ll take a chance on them on the asian handicap so we win even if they lost by one.