Brentford v Preston - Saturday 15:00
Simon Grayson breathed a sigh of relief after posting a comfortable 3-0 win over Cardiff in midweek, the result providing a timely riposte to growing suggestions that Preston are destined to be embroiled in a relegation scrap. The Lilywhites are lacking verve this time around but remain headstrong and disciplined, qualities that should keep them competitive.
And with the pressure eased by that win over the Bluebirds, they have what it takes to make life difficult for resurgent Brentford. The Lancashire club like to keep games in the realm of fine margins and their total expected goals figure of 2.19 is the third-lowest in the division, so take the 23/10 available on under 1.5 goals.
The Bees were looking like a busted flush at the end of August, slumping to defeat at Rotherham and then struggling in a one-sided stalemate against Sheffield Wednesday. However, the international break evidently did them the world of good and a sensational 2-0 win at Brighton last weekend fired a warning to anyone willing to write them out of the play-off picture.
That was Brentford at their best, keeping things tight and picking their punches. A similar display here might not win many plaudits but it can bag another three points. Clean sheets have accompanied home wins over Ipswich and Nottingham Forest, while Preston have already been edged out by a solitary strike three times. The Brentford 1-0 correct score is decent value at 13/2.