Neil Warnock's Cardiff host Leeds on Tuesday, looking to defend their unbeaten home record.
Cardiff v Leeds - Tuesday 19:45, Sky Sports
Both these sides have got off to fast starts with just goal difference separating them at the top of the Championship as their fans start to dream of the big time again. It’s Leeds who currently reside in first but after a faultless start on the road, they were undone in their last trip to promoted Millwall. In fact, none of the clubs they’ve visited this so far term are forecast to finish in the top half so this certainly represents their toughest test under Thomas Christiansen so far.
Cardiff are unbeaten at home with their draw against promotion candidates Sheffield Wednesday most recently the only time they’ve dropped points. It means their record at the Cardiff City Stadium is an impressive W13-D5-L4 under Neil Warnock, including six victories in their last eight with their only defeat in this run against Newcastle. With that in mind, we fancy Cardiff to pick up another three points.
Indeed, Leeds have lost five of their last eight trips to top-10 sides, while just looking at top-six finishers their record is W2-D3-L7 since the start of 2015/16. Five of these six trips last term saw fewer than three goals and as the Yorkshire club currently hold the second-best defensive record in the division we expect this to be tight. The Bluebirds concede an average of less than a goal per game under Warnock, so we’re backing Under 2.5 Goals, which has occurred in nine of the Welsh side’s 12 matches hosting top-half sides since the start of last season.
Finally, seven of Leeds’s last nine defeats on the road have been by just a single goal so a 1-0 correct score in Cardiff’s favour is another one we fancy.