We’ve got a banker, a value & a wildcard fantasy football pick for your delectation.
Banker – Alexandre Lacazette – 9.6m
No striker has scored more FPL points since gameweek 3 than Arsenal’s 11% owned French forward. He’s garnered attacking returns in each of his last 6 gameweeks (4 goals & 4 assists) and whilst Arsenal’s short-term fixtures could be seen as a bit of a mixed bag, Lacazette is on fire right now. The striker came to the Premier League with a reputation for possessing elite level finishing skill and that looks to now be showing – his goal conversion is 21.1% - better than Kun, Kane, Vardy & Mitrovic and he’s 2nd for positive xGI (expected goal involvement) delta which basically means he's either very lucky or very clinical.
The Gunners host a Leicester side that have conceded 12 goals from an xGA (expected goals against) of 8.58 which suggests they have an underperforming defence – Wes Morgan is suspended which may help or hinder that depending on your view but I expect that, if he plays, Lacazette will have plenty of opportunities to add to his already impressive goals tally.
Value – Jonny – 4.5m
Much praise has been heaped on to Wolves’ Irish AlonsoMatt Doherty so far this season, but Jonny has put in some equally impressive performances. Amongst all defenders, Jonny is 7th for penalty box touches (20), joint 10th for attempts (8) and has created 8 chances. He scored his first goal a few gameweeks ago and is playing in a team matching the very best in the league for defensive stats – Wolves has conceded the 2nd fewest big chances and the joint 2nd fewest shots in the box.
They face a Watford side that have been almost as impressive and organised (4th lowest shots conceded) so I wouldn’t expect a goal-fest here but if Wolves can nick a goal there’s a decent chance the wing back could be involved.
Wildcard – Sean Morrison – 4.9m
Neil Warnock’s men have had it hard so far this season and find themselves firmly bottom of the league having conceded 17 goals and scored a joint low of 4. After the international break the team from Wales will embark on 3 winnable home games in next 4 and club captain Sean Morrison will be hoping to guide his team to a respectable showing.
What Cardiff lack in quality they make up for in effort and this endeavour might steer them toward some favourable results – they’ve conceded the 6th fewest shots, the 8th fewest shots on target and the joint 10th fewest shots in the box so there’s hope for them yet.
Morrison can be a threat from set pieces and arguably should already have his name on the scoresheet – he’s top for both xG and XGI among defenders. Combine Cardiff’s penchant for set pieces (3rd for attempts) and the spectre of a facing a Fulham side that have conceded the most shots in the box, shots on target and big chances of any Premier League team and we could see Cardiff get their first win of the season.
Averages so far:
Banker – 8.7pts
Value – 4.2pts
Wildcard – 7.1pts