Three of the best bets from La Liga this week.
Valencia v Malaga – Tuesday 19:00, Sky Sports
Valencia maintained their unbeaten start to the season with a 1-1 draw at Levante. It does mean they’ve drawn their last three but the other two were ‘good points’ at home to Atletico and on the road at Real Madrid. This provides a fantastic opportunity for Los Che to return to winning ways as they welcome a struggling Malaga side. Michel’s men are yet to register a point with their only goal so far coming at home in a 3-1 defeat to Las Palmas – the Gran Canaria side’s first away victory since August 2016. We’d expect Valencia to finish in the top-half this term, as do the bookmakers, and Malaga have lost nine of their last 11 trips to top-half non-Big Two sides, failing to score in seven of these defeats. The hosts are worth adding to any accumulators at 1.62 but given they’ve not conceded at the Mestalla this term, we’re backing a home win to nil.
Sevilla v Las Palmas – Wednesday 21:00, Sky Sports
Sevilla’s impressive start to the season sees them sit second in the standings after winning their last three without conceding. They beat Eibar comfortably in their last home game, meaning their record at the Sanchez Pizjuan since the start of 2015/16 is an impressive W29-D6-L5. Excluding top-six opposition in this time, they’ve won 23 of 29 with 13 of these victories by at least a two-goal margin. Las Palmas arrive with back-to-back victories under their belt with success in Malaga their first on the road since the opening game of last season. Between these two victories they lost 16 of 19 away matches and against a side as strong as Sevilla at home we can’t see anything but defeat for the visitors. They conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game in their trips to top-six sides last term and with Sevilla looking well-organised this term we’ll back the hosts to cover the -1 handicap.
Villarreal v Espanyol – Thursday 19:00, Sky Sports
Villarreal have recovered from defeats in their first two with six goals in consecutive victories as their new-look attack takes shape. The acquisition of Carlos Bacca appears to be a shrewd piece of business and his partnership with the fit again Cedric Bakambu has the makings of a profitable one for the Yellow Submarine. They’ve won 12 of their 20 home games since the start of last season and if you excluded top-six sides then its 10 victories from 15. Espanyol have had to deal with tough away trips to start the season having already gone to Sevilla and Barcelona and this looks no different. They hold a decent W7-D7-L7 record on the road since the start of last term but six of these defeats came against top-eight finishers. In fact, when travelling to such sides since 2013/14 they’ve lost 25 of 31 matches and we think another home victory is on the cards.