A trio of bets from the fourth tier of English football.
Accrington Stanley v Cheltenham – Saturday 15:00
Accrington Stanley suffered a surprising defeat in their last home game against Grimsby, but returned to winning ways on the road at Chesterfield and we expect another three points here. Their opponents Cheltenham have lost three of four winless away games to date, managing just the single goal, whilst Accrington are now W10-D2-L2 over their last 14 at the Wham Stadium. They managed a clean sheet in six of these victories and given Cheltenham’s goal-shy nature, we wouldn’t put anyone off the home win to nil, but as Accrington have triumphed in each of their last seven hosting bottom-10 opponents, the win looks great value on its own.
Stevenage v Morecambe – Saturday 15:00
After winning three of five unbeaten games to start the season well, Stevenage have since lost two out of three with their sole point coming at home to a struggling Crawley side. However, their last match against Swindon was the first time they’ve conceded in the first half this season as they’ve led at the break in five of their eight games so far. This includes each of their four at home, though they only went on to win one of these games. Morecambe, on the other hand, have been consistently slow out the blocks, registering just the single first-half goal this term (none on the road), and have trailed at the break in five. However, despite their poor first-half showings the Shrimps have only lost once on their travels, so we much prefer to back Stevenage to lead at half-time rather than after 90 minutes, and for those in search of a longshot the Stevenage/Draw HT/FT is big!
Yeovil v Port Vale – Saturday 15:00
Port Vale have been dreadful, losing six of seven winless games and failing to score in five of these defeats, whilst they also trailed at the break in five of these losses too. Yeovil are without a win in four, but remain unbeaten at home this season, scoring at least twice in three of these games, and as such should fancy their chances. The managerless Valiants sit rock-bottom of the standings and as the Glovers have won six of their last nine hosting bottom-six opposition it would be foolish not to take the 2.5 on offer for a home win.