There's a full League One programme this weekend. Read three of the best tips.
MK Dons v Bradford - Saturday 15:00
MK Dons made it three wins in four unbeaten home games as they won 2-0 at Bury, but each of these were against sides currently in the bottom-eight and while they’re W5-D1-L0 against such opposition this term, they’re only W0-D1-L4 against the rest of the division. Indeed, they’ve now lost five of seven winless matches hosting top-six opponents since the start of last season, and with Bradford having won three of five unbeaten away games this term, including at high-flying Peterborough, they look a fair price. If we exclude top-six opponents, Bradford are W11-D7-L4 on their travels since the start of last season and given how well they’ve started this term, we’re going to take advantage of what looks an inflated price as a result of the Dons profiting from a lenient fixture schedule.
Northampton v Bristol Rovers - Saturday 15:00
Northampton have lost three of four winless games during which time they’ve failed to find the net, but this looks an excellent opportunity to end their goal drought against a Rovers side that has the second worst defence in the division and are still searching for their first clean sheet. Northampton have had a tough run of fixtures as four of their last five have been on the road and each of these were against top-half sides, while prior to that they’d managed back-to-back home wins over Doncaster and Plymouth in Hasselbaink’s first two games in charge. Rovers have lost four of their five away games so far, conceding 12 goals in the process, and so we couldn’t be backing them at 2.5. Given Northampton have only conceded three times in their last four despite a tough fixture list, we’re siding with the hosts on the Draw No Bet.
Gillingham v Portsmouth - Sunday 14:30, Sky Sports
Gillingham failed to score again for the third consecutive game, meaning they’re stuck on six goals for the season as only Wimbledon have netted fewer. They come up against a Portsmouth side that’s managed only four goals in their five away games, losing three of those, and so we don’t expect there to be much goalmouth action. Three of Gillingham’s five home games have seen fewer than two goals and since top-three sides Shrewsbury and Bradford are the only teams to beat them at Priestfield Stadium, we’d be against Portsmouth at odds-on, though Under 2.5 Goals certainly looks the best bet at close to even money.