Gillingham v Blackburn - Saturday 15:00
Blackburn continued their impressive form as they made it five wins from six unbeaten games as they eased past Blackpool at home to maintain their position at the top of the table. They face a tough task here though as they go to a Gillingham side unbeaten in nine at home (W3-D6-L0). They’ve had stalemates with Wigan and Scunthorpe in the last two visits from top-six sides and given their strong draw trend, that’s the bet we fancy. Blackburn have won four of their last seven on the road but each of those victories came at teams below Gillingham in the table, whilst they’ve kept just one clean sheet in their last 10 on their travels so we wouldn’t be keen on backing them at odds-on.
Oldham continued their impressive run as their unbeaten streak is now at five as they came from behind to rescue a point at Bury. They’ve gone to two top-five teams in that time so the strength of their form is good, whilst they’ve won their last two at home. Portsmouth, on the other hand, have lost four of their last five and nine of their last 14 on their travels, so Oldham are certainly better value at the prices. They aren’t the most reliable defensively though as they’ve kept just one clean sheet in their last seven at home, and since Pompey have managed to net six of their last seven despite their poor form, the home win and both teams to score is certainly worth considering. Indeed, it’s been the case in four of Oldham’s last five home wins.
Plymouth’s winning run was halted at six as they couldn’t hold on to their lead at Fleetwood as they had to settle for a draw. They host a Rovers side that have won three of their last four on the road, but they’ve had a soft run of fixtures as each of these came against sides 15th or lower in the table. They’ve lost all six of their trips to top-10 teams this term whilst Plymouth have won eight of their last nine at Home Park, including against a side of the calibre of league leaders Blackburn, and so it’s difficult to see past the home win.