Accrington v Yeovil - Saturday 15:00
Accrington’s run without a goal stretched to 370 minutes with a 2-0 defeat at Hartlepool in midweek. John Coleman’s men dominated the first half at Victoria Park but lost their way after the break and appeared to be heading for a dour goalless draw until an eagle-eyed referee intervened on the hour, hitting Stanley with a soft penalty and red card double whammy.
Coleman was suitably irritated by the decision afterwards but couldn’t hide his concern that something is amiss in his forward line. Billy Kee wasted a handful of early openings and appears low on confidence, and when you take goals out of his game, you’re not left with much else. With that in mind, take the 23/10 available on under 1.5 goals at the Wham Stadium.
Yeovil travel to Lancashire unbeaten in six league matches and well-rested after the postponement of their home game with Crawley in midweek. Shot data would suggest the value is marginally with the home side but the Glovers tend to be patient rather than proactive and pride themselves on being difficult to break down, especially on the road.
As such, they probably have what it takes to frustrate their hosts and notch a fifth clean sheet in seven. With a meagre 44 per cent shot ratio across their 17 matches to date and so much being made of their current unbeaten run, don’t expect Darren Way’s men to overcommit while it remains goalless. Take the 9/1 available on no goalscorer.