Man City v Southampton - Sunday 13:30, Sky Sports 1
Man City’s fine start to the season has come to an abrupt end over the last few weeks, failing to win any of their last four matches across all competitions. However, they are hardly a club in crisis, as a trip to the Nou Camp is one of the toughest tests in football and the Citizens still sit top of the league. They swarmed Everton last week, preventing them from getting out of their own half for most of the encounter and were only denied the win by some spectacular saves by Maarten Stekelenburg and two penalty misses.
Southampton’s good form continued last week against Burnley, and they have now won three of four unbeaten games since their unfortunate defeat at the Emirates. The team has been organised with a clear game plan and the players all seem to know their role in the midfield diamond, whilst Charlie Austin has led from the front with four goals during this unbeaten streak. Both teams have scored in nine of Man City’s last 11 matches in the league, and as the only Southampton player to score more than one goal since August, Austin looks good value to be the one to score anytime at 3.75.
Southampton have drawn the first half in five of their last six matches and have lost only once in their last 11 where the scores were level at the break, whilst Man City have drawn four of their last five where the sides went in level at half-time. As a result, we think current form points towards backing draw/draw half-time/full-time at 7.5.