Swansea v Crystal Palace - Saturday 15:00

Swansea achieved a credible draw away at Everton last week, scoring first for only the second time this season, though they remain without a win in 11 games since their opening day triumph over promoted Burnley. They’ve lost eight times during this run, leaving them rooted to the bottom of the table following successive victories for fellow strugglers Sunderland. Seamus Coleman’s 89th minute equalizer will have devastated the Swans, and means both teams have scored in eight of their last 10 matches.

Crystal Palace are winless themselves in six matches, losing each of the last five, and badly need the three points too. Like Swansea, Palace can’t keep a clean sheet to save their life (they’ve registered none in their last 17) but also rarely fail to score. Both sides have scored in nine of their last 10 and in each of their last five away from Selhurst Park, although the Eagles are not overly reliant on Christian Benteke for goals as many would presume. They’ve scored six goals in their last four, with four different goalscorers, with Benteke himself failing to score from open play in five matches.

With both sides in terrible form and with atrocious defensive records, we think the value lies in backing over 3.5 goals. There have been at least four goals in three of Swansea’s last five and in three of Palace’s last four, and neither side can afford to let the chance of three points slip from their grasp.

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Over 3.5 Goals - 1pt @ 3.4